2023-07-14-莱坊-London_Offices_Spotlight_Q2_2023_7页_2mb
报告摘要
Knight Frank London Offices Spotlight Q2 2023
Market Overview
- Take-up remains below long-term average, but active requirements continued to rise in Q2 2023, indicating strengthening demand despite economic pressures from rising interest rates.
- Supply and vacancy: New stock and refurbishments are increasing supply, while vacancy rates remain elevated in some submarkets due to under-absorption.
- City assets are being re-priced in response to declining yields, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.
Key Themes
- Rising Demand: Active leasing requirements increased by 8.53 million sq ft year-on-year.
- Supply Overhang: A significant amount of space is new or under refurbishment, contributing to softer net absorption.
- Interest Rate Impact: Further downward pressure on valuations and yields as the Monetary Policy Committee raises rates.
Submarket Analysis
City & Southbank
- Vacancy Rate: 6.9% (up from previous quarter).
- Leasing: West End continues to dominate transaction sizes, with prime rent for prime stock at £135 PSF.
- Investment: Lower vacancy rates in prime locations fuel investment interest, but yields rose to 5.25%, signaling caution.
Docklands & Stratford
- Vacancy Rate: 9.3% (high compared to other submarkets).
- Leasing: Minimal impact from development completions (e.g., Canary Wharf), with transactions limited to speculative tenants.
- Investment: Activity subdued, with transactions driven by niche buyers.
West End
- Vacancy Rate: 7.1% (tightest across submarkets), despite continued development completions at prime addresses.
- Leasing: High-quality spaces leased quickly, with prime stock at £99 PSF.
- Investment: Activity increases in select areas, with sites like Berkeley Square commanding premium values.
Investment Market Trends
- Investments focus on prime assets, particularly in high-demand zones like West End Core.
- Yields increased in all submarkets (e.g., City South reached 5.25%), reflecting weaker funding conditions and interest in yield-hedging.
Contact Points
- Head of London Offices
- London Lease Advisory
- London Tenant Representation
- Valuation & Advisory Team
- Capital Markets Team
- London Development
- London Research
- General Information and Disclaimer
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