2014-10-28-皮尤-Latino_Support_for_Democrats_Falls,_but_Democratic_Advantage_Remains_80页_1mb

Summary of Pew Research Center Report: Latino Support for Democrats Falls, but Democratic Advantage Remains

• Key Findings:

  • Latino registered voters continue to strongly support Democrats (57%) in congressional elections, though this is a decline from 65% in 2010. Democrats maintain a wide advantage over Republicans (28%) across most demographic groups, but support has decreased marginally.
  • Immigration is a top issue for Latinos, ranked below economy, jobs, and education, but it remains critically important. About half (54%) say immigration is not a deal-breaker if candidates agree on most other issues, though one-third (36%) would not vote for a candidate disagreeing on this.
  • Voter motivation is stable compared to 2010, with 53% of Latino registered voters reporting they are absolutely certain to vote. However, overall turnout rates for Latinos are lower than for whites and blacks, despite a record number of Latino eligible voters.
  • Latinos are more positive than the general U.S. public on the nation's direction and President Obama's job performance, though optimism has declined slightly since 2012. Democrats are seen more favorably than Republicans on immigration, the economy, and foreign policy.
  • Personal connections to deportation experiences influence voting on immigration; about 46% of those who know someone deported say immigration is a deal-breaker.
  • Immigration legislation has stalled, with 45% of Latino registered voters blaming Republicans in Congress. A majority (66%) view passing significant new immigration bills as extremely or very important.

• Support for Democrats: From 65% in 2010, support among Latino registered voters decreased to 57% in 2014, but Democrats still hold a two-to-one advantage over Republicans. Support drops across subgroups like age, education, and nativity, but remains strong.

• Immigration and Voting: Seen as extremely or very important by 73%, but immigration ranked third after economy and jobs. About half say it's not a deal-breaker; Spanish-dominant and foreign-born voters emphasize its importance.

• Voter Engagement: Motivation similar to 2010, with high certainty to vote (53%), but overall registration rates lag, contributing to lower turnout. Issues like education, jobs, and health care are top concerns.

• Other Findings: 66% of Latinos prioritize a pathway to legal status or deportation relief; Democrats are favored on these policies. Disapproval of Obama's deportation handling remains high (63%), with regional and generational differences. PEW RESEARCH CENTER methodologies and table details are omitted for brevity.