2015-10-13-奥纬咨询-2015-2025_Global_Fleet_and_MRO_Market_Forecast_30页_1mb

Summary of 2015-2025 Global Fleet & MRO Market Forecast

• Report Overview: Oliver Wyman's 2015 presentation previews the global air transport fleet and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market trends from 2015 to 2025, emphasizing the need for innovation and adaptation in the face of evolving technologies and regional growth disparities.

• Fleet Growth: By 2025, the global jet and turboprop fleet will expand by over 10,000 aircraft, with narrowbody aircraft experiencing 5.2% average annual growth (CAGR). Mature regions like North America and Europe see significant refleeting efforts, while emerging markets like Asia Pacific/China/India exhibit higher growth rates.

• Regional Variations: North America and Western Europe grow at lower CAGRs (0.9% and 2.8%, respectively) but continue large refleeting. Asia Pacific/China/India shows the highest growth (6.1% CAGR), driven by passenger traffic and fleet expansion, but faces MRO capacity challenges.

• MRO Market Forecast: The MRO market is expected to reach over $100 billion by 2025, with a 4.1% CAGR. Key segments include airframe (slow growth), engine (increasing share due to newer aircraft), and components. Regional shifts are substantial, with Asia Pacific/China/India experiencing the highest absolute MRO spend growth.

• Technological Advancements: Emerging technologies like aircraft health monitoring (AHM), predictive maintenance, and additive manufacturing are poised to reshape MRO, potentially reducing spend by redistributing it or creating new revenue streams. Digital analytics and data utilization are critical for innovation.

• Challenges to Innovation: MRO organizations face barriers including budget constraints, organizational resistance, and difficulties in proving financial viability. The industry lacks a core capability for recognizing and implementing change urgently.

• Call to Action: The report urges the industry to "diselect the autopilot" and strategically invest in innovation to avoid obsolescence, highlighting that failure to adapt could lead to a redistribution of MRO spend and loss of competitive edge. Oliver Wyman invites feedback for shaping future surveys.

Conclusion: The global fleet and MRO markets will experience turbulent shifts due to technological advancements and regional growth disparities. Proactive innovation and strategic investments are essential for sustainable growth in a maturing industry.