2018_B2C电子商务指数_聚焦非洲(英文版)
报告摘要
Summary of UNCTAD B2C E-commerce Index 2018 Focus on Africa
Core Content
The UNCTAD B2C E-commerce Index 2018 evaluates the preparedness of economies to support online shopping. It includes 151 economies, an increase from the 2017 edition. The index is based on four key indicators:
- Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+)
- Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
- Postal Reliability Index
- Secure Internet servers (per 1 million people)
The index has a high correlation (adjusted R² = 0.8) with the actual level of online shopping in a country.
Main Points
Global Rankings
- The Netherlands tops the index for the first time, replacing Luxembourg due to a drop in postal reliability.
- The Netherlands has high values across all four indicators, especially in secure servers.
- Secure servers are a proxy for e-commerce shops, and the Netherlands has the highest number of online retailers in the EU.
- Singapore and Switzerland are in second and third place, respectively.
- United Kingdom is fourth, with all indicators at 90 or above.
- Norway and Sweden are among the Nordic nations in the top ten.
- Iceland ranks sixth, with near ubiquitous Internet access but low postal reliability.
- New Zealand is ninth, and Denmark completes the top ten.
Developing Countries
- Asian nations dominate the top ten developing countries, with Singapore leading the list.
- Hong Kong (China) and Republic of Korea are among the top developing economies.
- United Arab Emirates is a new entrant and is positioned first in the Gulf.
- Malaysia is fifth, with a high proportion of B2C sales to GDP.
- Thailand ranks sixth, excelling in postal reliability and financial access.
- Turkey is a new entrant and has seen significant growth in Internet access and online shopping.
- Iran ranks eighth among developing countries with a high level of account ownership.
- Chile is the only non-Asian country in the top ten developing economies.
- Saudi Arabia completes the list, with potential for improvement in banking and secure servers.
Foreign Investment and Digital Readiness
- A competitive B2C e-commerce ecosystem attracts foreign direct investment (FDI) and venture capital.
- In 2017, FDI in the e-commerce sectors of top ten developing countries reached at least $1.7 billion.
- Thailand and Singapore received significant investments from Alibaba and Grab.
Special Focus on Africa
- 44 African countries are included in the 2018 index.
- The continent lags behind the rest of the world in e-commerce readiness.
- Mauritius is the highest-ranked African country at 55th globally.
- Nigeria ranks second in Africa and is the largest B2C e-commerce market on the continent, due to improved postal reliability.
- South Africa ranks third, with 60% Internet penetration in 2017.
- Tunisia, Ghana, and Kenya are among the top African countries, showing progress in key indicators.
Key Improvements and Challenges
- Improved coverage in 2018 includes more countries and updated data.
- Data estimation is used for some indicators when surveys are not available.
- Postal reliability remains a key challenge, especially in Iceland and Sub-Saharan Africa.
- Secure servers have seen significant revisions and improvements in some countries.
- Digital readiness is linked to online shopping growth and investment opportunities.
Regional Overview
| Region | Internet Use (%) | Account Ownership (%) | Secure Servers (Normalized) | Postal Reliability | Index Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 26 | 40 | 29 | 24 | 30 |
| East, South & Southeast Asia | 48 | 62 | 57 | 62 | 57 |
| Latin America & the Caribbean | 54 | 53 | 54 | 24 | 46 |
| Western Asia | 71 | 58 | 51 | 42 | 57 |
| Transition Economies | 65 | 59 | 65 | 71 | 65 |
| Developed | 84 | 93 | 88 | 81 | 86 |
| World | 54 | 60 | 56 | 49 | 55 |
Notable Developments in Africa
- Mauritius has the highest account ownership rate in Africa at 90%.
- Nigeria has the highest postal reliability score in the region, contributing to its second place in the index.
- South Africa has the highest Internet penetration among African countries.
- Ghana, Kenya, and Botswana show notable improvements in the index.
- Cameroon ranks 10th in Africa with a 3.6% increase in index value.
Key Challenges in Africa
- Postal reliability is a major issue, with many countries scoring low.
- Internet access and account ownership are still relatively low in many African nations.
- Addressing systems in countries like Nigeria hinder home delivery, prompting the adoption of what3words for improved logistics.
Conclusion
The UNCTAD B2C E-commerce Index 2018 highlights the growing digital readiness of many economies, particularly in Asia and Europe, while Africa lags but shows progress in several key indicators. The index serves as a useful tool for understanding the potential and challenges of e-commerce development across the world.
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