2023-10-26-世界银行-2023年9月贫困与不平等平台(PIP)更新_新增内容(英)_31页_576kb
报告摘要
Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note 32 Summary
Key Updates and Findings
- The 2023 September update to the Poverty and Inequality Platform (PIP) revised global and regional poverty estimates for 1981–2021, incorporating new survey data and auxiliary data updates.
- COVID-19 pandemic data significantly increased regional coverage, allowing regional estimates for 2020 and 2021 in most regions except Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East and North Africa.
- Global poverty at $2.15 PPP rose from 8.5% to 9% in 2019, with India accounting for the majority of the increase. Other poverty lines showed minor or no changes.
- Welfare aggregates, CPI data, and national accounts were updated to ensure comparability and accuracy.
- A total of 63 new country-years were added, including historical data from wealthy nations, enhancing data coverage.
- Changes in methodologies, such as India's reweighting approaches for consumption data, affected comparability and trends.
Detailed Changes
Welfare Aggregates
- Costa Rica 2021: Corrected temporal deflator errors, affecting poverty and inequality estimates.
- India 2019/20: Revisions aligned with new fiscal year data; changes in reweighting and imputation methods.
- Luxembourg Income Study (LIS): Added historical data for European countries, with adjustments for comparability.
- West African countries: Updated temporal deflators to align with 2017 ICP reference year.
- Zambia 2010 and 2015: Adjustments to consumption aggregates for better consistency with national methodologies.
Data and Methodological Updates
- CPI data sources updated to the IMF's International Financial Statistics, improving inflation adjustments.
- National accounts and population data revised to current standards, with minor revisions primarily for Sri Lanka.
- New coverage rules for pandemic years ensured data was from surveys conducted during the period.
New Economy-Year Additions
- The update added 63 country-years, mostly for high-income countries like Canada, Luxembourg, and the United States, as well as for India and other nations, bringing the survey count to over 2,200.
COVID-19 Impact on Poverty
- South Asia experienced the largest increase in extreme poverty (2.5 p.p.), while East Asia, Europe, and high-income countries saw no significant change.
- Latin America and the Caribbean showed a slight recovery in 2021 after a minor decline in 2020.
Data Coverage and Comparability
- Data coverage for pandemic years reached 62% in 2020 and 34% in 2021 under stricter rules.
- A comparability database was enhanced to track metadata, aiding users in understanding regional changes.
Summary Notes
- The update improves data reliability and coverage, providing more insights into pandemic-related poverty changes.
- Challenges remain in low-income regions with limited survey data, constraining full global coverage.
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