2023-02-15-外交政策研究所-土耳其的新外交政策_安卡拉的野心_地区反应和对美国的影响(英)_120页_4mb
报告摘要
Turkey's New Foreign Policy examines the shift in Turkey's foreign policy from a status quo power to a revisionist actor, driven by its growing economic, military, and diplomatic strength under the AKP and Erdoğan. Historically, Turkey prioritized preserving the Lausanne Treaty borders and alliances with the West, but post-Cold War, it increasingly seeks to reshape regional dynamics for influence, often clashing with US interests and allies. Current challenges include conflicts in Syria, Cyprus, and Libya, strained relations with Greece and Israel, and increasing tensions with the US due to divergent geopolitical views. The book highlights implications for the US, including the need for alliances with regional partners and strategic recommendations to manage Turkey's actions, such as avoiding reflexive engagement and fostering regional stability. Ultimately, it calls for a proactive US vision to balance Turkey's ambitions with its allies.
Chapter 1 details Turkey's historical focus on status quo policies to defend its borders, including interactions with Greece and the Soviet Union post-Cold War. Chapter 2 analyzes Turkish revisionism, emphasizing its anti-status quo stance and contradictions with US interests, particularly in the Middle East. Chapter 3 explores regional responses, such as Greece, Cyprus, and Israel, showing how Turkey's actions isolate it and strain alliances. Chapter 4 presents US response strategies, advocating for selective cooperation, regional diplomacy, and a new framework for the regional order.
Key themes include Turkey's pursuit of "Neo-Ottomanism" to expand influence, its impact on US-Turkish relations, and recommendations for US policymakers to address tensions while managing Turkey's growing role in the region.
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