2024-09-23-PitchBook-PitchBook年二季度美国私募股权中间市场报告(英)_25页_9mb
报告摘要
Q2 2024 US PE Middle Market Report Summary
Executive Summary
- US PE middle-market deal activity saw a robust rebound in Q2 2024, with deal value and count growing by approximately 12.0% YoY.
- Deal multiples have narrowed relative to pre-pandemic highs, especially on an EBITDA basis, with some disruption expected as trend breaks.
- Middle-market exit activity remained low but showed signs of stabilization amid concerns regarding forced selling.
- Fundraising slowed despite high allocations to middle-market funds; many established GPs continued to raise funds significantly.
- Valuations across the US private markets have bottomed, with key metrics showing slight stabilization.
Deal Activity
- Middle-market buyout activity registered at $345.0 billion, with a 12% YoY increase compared to Q2 2023.
- Improved financing conditions allowed borrowers to secure cheaper debt, contributing to favorable deal activity.
- Valuations recovered for smaller companies below $1 billion, signaling a dissolution of minority growth deal excesses.
Valuation Metrics
- EV/EBITDA multiples are currently around 11.0x in the US, while they began recovering from a trough reached in 2023.
- Middle-market valuations, particularly for smaller companies, rebounded due to decreased hurdles across deleveraging attempts.
- Enterprise value and revenue multiples for deal targets reflect a long-term recovery, though they remain sensitive to macro conditions.
Exits
- Middle-market exits remained sluggish, with aggregate value nearly flat YoY at $43.5 billion through H1 2024.
- Sponsor-to-sponsor exits led in both volume and value for the second consecutive quarter.
- Corporate strategic M&A absorbed more value, with $9.1 billion in exits to corporates recorded in Q2.
Fundraising and Performance
- Middle-market funds raised $65.0 billion through H1 2024, with a large part from well-established GPs at bigger sizes.
- Dry powder levels in the middle market stayed elevated due to continued fundraising momentum.
- Mega funds regained the performance leadership after a run of underperformance by middle-market funds.
- Return expectations for GPs increased due to optimism around potential Fed rate cuts and the economic stabilization.
High Yield Senior Loan Lending Tables
- The league tables reflect continued activity in the high-yield bond space, with Ares, Churchill, and Golub Capital leading by significant counts.
Outlook
- Overall deal activity appears poised for stabilization, with increasing signs of sustainable deal flow.
- Some degree of valuation pressure remains, but levels have clearly improved from lows in 2023.
- Middle-market activity continues to look brighter compared to megafunds in terms of deployment and relative flexibility in capital allocation.
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