2024-10-13-世界经济论坛-释放机会_实现向未来工作过渡的全球框架（英）_33页_1mb

Unlocking Opportunity: A Global Framework for Enabling Transitions to the Jobs of Tomorrow Summary

Global Trends and Job Transitions

Key Observations:

• Job roles are projected to decline by nearly 25% globally by 2027, with 69 million new roles created and 83 million jobs being displaced.
• The most transformative job transitions from 2023-2027 include increasing demand for digital and ICT-based jobs (e.g., AI specialists), human-centric health jobs (e.g., registered nurses), and business services roles.
• Reskilling, better job-employer matching, safety nets, and multistakeholder collaboration are identified as critical mechanisms for leveraging job transitions.

Regional Insights

East Asia and the Pacific:

• Frequent transitions into healthcare, digital IT, and customer service roles are noted (e.g., in Australia, India, Philippines).
• Challenges addressed: Skills gaps (Japan) and mismatch between education and workforce needs (Indonesia).

Europe:

• Common transitions include healthcare (registered nurse) and IT roles (software engineer), with demand driven by aging populations.

Latin America and the Caribbean:

• Roles like Sales Representative and Office Assistant are key, with initiatives aimed at increasing female participation in STEM and overcoming regional barriers.

Middle East and North Africa:

• Software development roles and health management transitions feature prominently, taking advantage of both economic growth and healthcare expansion.

North America:

• High-frequency job transitions include moving delivery drivers to truck drivers and health technicians to registered nurses.

South Asia:

• India and Pakistan show high transitions into software engineer roles, while specialized training bridges the labor and education gaps.

Sub-Saharan Africa:

• Sales representatives and software engineers are top destination jobs. Addressing informal employment, skills mismatch, and training are key.

Framework for Job Transitions

Four Pillars:

1. Reskilling and Upskilling: Employers and educational institutions must collaborate to develop adaptable workforce.
2. Employee-Employer Matching: Leveraging technology and flexibility to improve job placement.
3. Worker Safety Nets: Such as unemployment benefits, tax incentives, and portable benefits.
4. Multistakeholder Collaboration: Public-private partnerships are essential to break structural barriers.

Case Studies:

• Germany's coal transition strategy and Spain's employment support exemplify policy-alignment.
• African nations focus on digital and platform-based training through initiatives like SIFA.
• Employer-led programs (Randstad, Localized, Anglo American) are directly addressing marginalization and regional unemployment.

Conclusion

The World Economic Forum calls for proactive strategies across regions to facilitate job transitions, maximizing economic opportunity, inclusivity, and sustainability.