2025年非洲贸易报告（英）-非洲银行-2025_88页_10mb

报告摘要

Africa's trade is navigating a challenging global environment characterized by geopolitical fragmentation, rising protectionism, and trade policy uncertainty. Despite these headwinds, the continent has shown resilience, with merchandise trade growing by 13.9% in 2024 to reach $220.3 billion.

Global trade growth slowed in 2025 to 2.8% (down from 2.9% in 2024), pressured by higher tariffs, trade diversion under AfCFTA, and protectionist policies from major economies. Nearly a decade of deficits could end as Africa's exports to North America increase by about 7.9% in 2024.
Key challenges include heightened trade tensions, supply chain disruptions due to regional conflicts, and the geopolitical rivalry between the US and China affecting global value chains.

Africa's share of global trade remains marginal at around 3%. While trade volumes are improving, average import coverage for African countries is less than 23.7%, limiting intra-African commerce.
Intra-African trade expanded by 12.4% in 2024, though it still accounts for only 14.4% of the continent's total exports, down slightly from the 2022 peak.

Afreximbank has been actively supporting African trade through its Ukraine Crisis Adjustment Trade Financing Programme and other measures to address funding gaps. The African Export-Import Bank continues to spearhead regional payment systems like PAPSS to enhance financial integration.
The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) shows early signs of implementation, with 48 countries having ratified the agreement by late 2024.

Leveraging AfCFTA protocols and strengthening regional payment systems like PAPSS could significantly boost intra-African trade.
Financial sovereignty and industrial diversification are crucial for enhancing Africa's trade position in the global economy.
Technological innovation and green finance mechanisms offer pathways for economic transformation in Africa.

Accelerate implementation of AfCFTA protocols to deepen regional economic integration.
Develop regional value chains to reduce dependence on primary commodity exports.
Enhance digital infrastructure to lower trade barriers and improve market access.
Continue reforms to improve capital access and fiscal space within member states.

[African Trade Report 2025]

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