世界经济论坛：抓住势头，为可持续包容性增长的未来建立韧性（英文版）_40页_1mb

Summary of Seizing the Momentum to Build Resilience for a Future of Sustainable Inclusive Growth

Core Content

This white paper outlines a comprehensive resilience agenda aimed at securing a sustainable and inclusive future in the face of continuous disruptions. It emphasizes the importance of resilience not just as a survival mechanism, but as a strategic imperative for long-term growth. The paper presents a structured approach to building resilience across six key areas and four enablers, supported by the World Economic Forum and McKinsey & Company through the Resilience Consortium.

Main Points

Six Resilience Action Areas

1. Geopolitical Resilience

   • Address the challenges of a fragmented global order.
   • Enhance flexibility across geopolitical regions through strategic adaptation.
   • Align with coherent values and global ethos to ensure stable market access.
   • Deepen understanding of economic and geopolitical interdependencies.
   • Use scenario planning to anticipate and manage geopolitical risks.

2. Climate, Food, and Energy Resilience

   • Accelerate the energy transition to renewables and transitional solutions like blue hydrogen and CCUS.
   • Decarbonize by preserving and restoring natural environments.
   • Prioritize food and basic needs in the transition for inclusive growth.
   • Invest in sustainable agricultural practices and inputs.
   • Ensure equitable access to healthcare and prevent future pandemics.

3. Trade and Supply Chain Resilience

   • Understand and reduce supply chain dependencies.
   • Strengthen supplier relationships and global interconnections.
   • Identify and mitigate over-the-horizon risks through early sensing and planning.
   • Support fair trade opportunities for developing economies.

4. People, Education, and Organizational Resilience

   • Cultivate flexible operating models and adaptable leadership.
   • Decentralize decision-making and empower self-sufficient teams.
   • Focus on long-term talent development and reskilling.
   • Invest in education to reduce inequality and talent gaps.

5. Healthcare Resilience

   • Prioritize preventative and holistic health care.
   • Increase healthcare system capacity and productivity.
   • Enhance preparedness for future health crises.
   • Ensure inclusion and equitable access to care.

6. Digital and Technological Resilience

   • Invest in operational and capital expenditure for new technologies.
   • Address the perception of high costs and limited access to funding.
   • Promote awareness of the financial benefits of technology.
   • Strengthen the digital infrastructure to support resilience.

Four Resilience Enablers

1. New Resilience Leadership and Organizational Capabilities

   • Develop a mindset that embraces uncertainty and extends foresight.
   • Foster proactive, holistic resilience strategies across organizations.

2. Resilience Funding

   • Public institutions alone cannot fund all aspects of resilience.
   • Private capital is essential for effective resource allocation.
   • Encourage diversified investment in green energy and other resilience opportunities.

3. Sustainable Economic Development

   • Ensure affordability and availability of essential services like housing, healthcare, and energy.
   • Create a supportive investment environment for youth, technology, and small businesses.

4. Public-Private Sector Collaboration

   • Strengthen cooperation to address global challenges.
   • Align public policies with private-sector commitments.
   • Leverage joint efforts to shape a resilient international environment.

Key Information

• Resilience is critical for long-term sustainable and inclusive growth.
• Failure to build resilience could cost up to 5% of global GDP annually.
• Resilience actions have significant GDP implications, ranging from -8% to +15% by 2030.
• The cost of inaction is greater than the cost of investing now.
• The Resilience Consortium brings together leaders from government, business, and international organizations to coordinate efforts.
• Collaboration is essential for tackling complex, interconnected challenges.
• Scenario planning and foresight are crucial tools for both public and private sectors.
• The energy transition requires investment in renewables, materials, and technology, with a focus on reducing emissions and ensuring affordability.
• Nature-based solutions play a vital role in carbon removal and climate resilience.
• Innovation and investment are needed to address the climate crisis and unlock trillions in economic value by 2030.

Conclusion

The paper calls for a unified, long-term resilience strategy that integrates action across all six resilience areas and leverages the four enablers. It highlights the need for leaders to act decisively and collaboratively to build resilience that supports sustainable, inclusive growth. The Resilience Consortium and ongoing Forum initiatives are key to driving this agenda forward, ensuring that both public and private sectors contribute to a more resilient and prosperous future.