2003-04-17-皮尤-Modest_Bush_Approval_Rating_Boost_at_War_s_End_12页_48kb

• Bush's Approval Rating: President Bush's overall job approval rating is 72%, unchanged from 74% immediately after the fall of Baghdad, but higher than the 55% prewar rating. His peak approval (72%) is below George H.W. Bush's 89% peak.

- **Partisan Divide in Approval**: Republicans (97%) approve of Bush's performance, similar to approval of George H.W. Bush after the Gulf War. Democrats (52%) approve slightly more than opposition during the Gulf War, but still less than Republican approval. Independents also give lower ratings now than then.

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- **Election Favorability**: 48% of registered voters (sold) support reelecting Bush in 2004, a slight improvement from 45% in a previous survey, but still below the peak seen after Operation Desert Storm.

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- **War Perception**: 52% of Americans think the U.S. has won the war with Iraq, up from 32%. 61% rate the military effort "very well" or "fairly well," indicating growing confidence in the war outcome.

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- **War Costs and Concerns**: The economy has overtaken war-related issues as the top national problem priority (41% cite it). 45% worry “a fair amount” about the war's cost. Democrats (47% and 45% respectively) are more concerned about costs than Republicans.

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- **Democratic Candidacy**: 63% of Americans cannot name a Democratic presidential candidate, and the Democrat favorability rating continues to lag behind the Republicans.

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- **UN Involvement**: A majority (64%) favor a significant UN role in establishing a stable Iraqi government after the war. Republicans remain more skeptical about UN authority and emphasize U.S. leadership, while Democrats show considerably more trust in the United Nations.

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- **Post-War Concerns**: 42% still worry about an ongoing guerrilla war. 41% worry about the cost of the war. There's broad uncertainty about creating a stable and democratic government in Iraq.

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- **Wartime Decision-Making**: 94% of Americans support military action in Iraq, while 20% previously opposed it. While support has been stable, concern about the war's direction varies more by party—Democrats worry more than Republicans about the conflict's "wrongness."

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- **Legacy Context**: This survey captures overall sentiment just as the military Operations in Iraq are concluding, marking a shift from predominantly war-centric public concerns toward topics like the economy and post-war administration priorities.

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