2013年-世界发展银行全球_On_the_Long-Term_Holistic_Development_Framework_Principle_of_the_CDF___An_Evaluation_49页_1mb

Summary of A Multi-Partner Evaluation of the Comprehensive Development Framework

Core Content

The document presents a multi-stakeholder evaluation of the Comprehensive Development Framework (CDF), an initiative introduced by the World Bank's President James D. Wolfensohn in 1999. The CDF aims to enhance the effectiveness of development partners in achieving desired outcomes by promoting a long-term holistic development framework (LTHDF). This framework emphasizes the interdependence of social, structural, human, governance, environmental, economic, and financial elements of development and is aligned with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), particularly those related to poverty reduction.

Main Objectives of the Evaluation

The evaluation is structured around the following objectives:

• Identifying factors that have facilitated or hindered the implementation of CDF principles.
• Assessing the impact of CDF implementation on intermediate outcomes and, where possible, long-term development outcomes.
• Promoting learning and capacity building in CDF-implementation countries.
• Establishing an ongoing mechanism for periodic assessment and feedback of CDF processes.

Key Components of the Long-Term Holistic Development Framework (LTHDF)

The LTHDF is grounded in the idea that development is a complex and long-term process, not merely a short-term economic growth strategy. It incorporates the capability approach to poverty, which focuses on expanding real freedoms that people enjoy, rather than just measuring economic growth or income levels. The framework also includes a money metric approach, using the $1 per person per day poverty line and the headcount ratio as key indicators.

The LTHDF is defined in terms of two main components:

• Growth component: Reduction in poverty due to increases in per capita consumption.
• Distribution component: Reduction in poverty due to changes in the inequality of consumption distribution, often measured using the Gini coefficient.

Implementation in CDF Pilot Countries

The document evaluates the implementation of the CDF principle in six pilot countries, including Romania, Bolivia, Vietnam, Ghana, Uganda, and Burkina Faso. It notes that the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSPs) are central to the CDF process, as they represent the embodiment of the CDF principles in national development planning.

Key findings include:

• Romania, although not required to have a PRSP, participated in the CDF process and aimed to achieve consensus on development priorities, including poverty reduction and EU accession.
• Bolivia, Vietnam, Ghana, Uganda, and Burkina Faso have prepared both interim and full PRSPs, with varying degrees of alignment with the CDF principles.
• Development indicators such as per capita GNI, life expectancy, under-5 mortality rates, adult illiteracy rates, and HDI are used to assess progress.

Donor Behavior and CDF

The CDF also influences donor behavior and partner engagement. The document explores how the emergence of a holistic, long-term development approach has affected the way donors view and support development programs. It suggests that the CDF promotes a more strategic and comprehensive approach to aid, which can lead to better alignment with national priorities and long-term goals.

Thematic and Cross-Cutting Studies

The evaluation includes:

• A thematic study on the long-term holistic development framework.
• A crosscutting econometric study to assess the impact of CDF on development outcomes.
• A synthesis report that integrates findings from the above studies.

Key Findings and Hypotheses

• The CDF represents a shift from narrow economic models to a more holistic and long-term approach to development.
• The headcount ratio is a central indicator in poverty reduction, and its reduction by half by 2015 is a key MDG.
• A growth elasticity model is used to estimate the required GDP growth rates and investment levels to achieve the MDG.
• In Sub-Saharan Africa, achieving the MDG would require an annual GDP growth rate of about 7%, and an investment rate of about 39% of GDP.
• The time horizon for achieving the MDG in Sub-Saharan Africa is estimated to be 116 years if current growth rates persist, which is much longer than the 15-year target.

Conclusion and Future Directions

The document concludes that the CDF is an important shift in development thinking, emphasizing country ownership, holistic strategies, and long-term planning. It proposes several exploratory hypotheses for future evaluation, including:

• The quality of aid and its impact on the implementation of the CDF.
• The trade-offs between different development objectives under the LTHDF.
• The effectiveness of the LTHDF in influencing donor behavior and national development outcomes.

Key Tables

• Table 1: Development indicators for CDF pilot countries (e.g., population, GNI, GDP growth, life expectancy, HDI, headcount ratio, Gini coefficient).
• Table 2: Vietnam's development goals.
• Table 3: Bolivia's development goals.
• Table 4: Ghana's poverty reduction monitoring indicators (1999–2003).
• Table 5: Uganda's development goals.

References and Methodology

• The evaluation includes telephone interviews and field surveys to gather insights from stakeholders and donors.
• The analytical framework is based on the capability approach and money metric poverty analysis.
• The MDGs are used as a benchmark for evaluating the effectiveness of the CDF.