20160130-世界经济论坛-Blueprints_for_a_Greener_Footprint_Sustainable_Development_at_a_Landscape_Scale_25页_10mb

报告摘要

Summary of Blueprints for a Greener Footprint: Sustainable Development at a Landscape Scale

Core Content

This document outlines the importance of landscape-scale planning (LSP) in achieving sustainable development. It argues that traditional project-level planning is insufficient to address the complex and interconnected environmental, social, and economic impacts of development. Instead, a landscape-scale approach is necessary to ensure that development projects align with long-term sustainability goals and reduce negative consequences for communities, ecosystems, and the economy.

Main Viewpoints

Sustainable development requires a shift from project-by-project planning to landscape-scale planning, which considers the cumulative impacts of development across multiple sectors.
Landscape-scale planning supports integrated solutions, promotes comprehensive risk management, and enhances predictability and transparency for stakeholders.
The future environmental footprint is expected to grow significantly, especially in emerging economies, due to increasing demand for energy, minerals, agriculture, and infrastructure.
Cumulative impacts from development can degrade natural landscapes, reduce water availability, and contribute to climate change.
Stakeholder engagement and public participation are essential for successful LSP, as they help identify shared interests and reduce social conflict.
LSP can identify new development opportunities, such as shared facilities and integrated corridors, and support long-term landscape resilience.

Key Information

The global population is projected to increase, leading to higher urban land cover and more land conversion.
Water scarcity is a growing concern, with nearly 4 billion people expected to face severe water stress by 2030.
Mineral demand is expected to increase by over 50% by 2050, with significant investment in Africa.
Energy investments are estimated at $40 trillion over the next 20 years, with $3–5 billion projects facing weekly losses of up to $20 million due to community conflicts.
LSP helps identify high-value areas for conservation, avoid conflicts, and optimize development in low-conflict zones.
Geospatial data is crucial for LSP, and remote sensing and spatial modeling have significantly improved the feasibility and accuracy of such planning.

Benefits of Landscape-Scale Planning

Reduces conflicts and delays by providing a broader view of development impacts.
Supports long-term resilience by protecting watersheds, habitats, and ecosystem services.
Informs better decision-making for governments, businesses, and communities.
Promotes integrated development corridors and shared facilities that offer cost and sustainability benefits.
Enhances transparency and predictability in development planning.

Challenges and Opportunities

Current limitations include lack of institutional support, insufficient data, and fragmented planning approaches.
Technological advancements in remote sensing, GIS, and spatial modeling have made LSP more feasible and cost-effective.
Public-private collaboration and collective leadership are essential for scaling up LSP.
Case experience shows that LSP can lead to more sustainable outcomes by integrating conservation goals with development needs.

Contributions to UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

LSP can support progress on several SDGs, including:

SDG 1 (No Poverty) – by improving economic opportunities and reducing social conflict.
SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) – by enhancing food security and agricultural efficiency.
SDG 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation) – by protecting watersheds and ensuring clean water provision.
SDG 13 (Climate Action) – by promoting carbon sequestration and climate resilience.
SDG 15 (Life on Land) – by preserving biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Conclusion

To achieve sustainable development, the planning process must be shifted from the site level to the landscape level. This approach is critical for managing cumulative impacts, aligning development with environmental goals, and supporting long-term resilience. While LSP is not yet widespread, technological progress and collaborative efforts can accelerate its adoption and implementation.

Framework and Process of LSP

Setting landscape goals.
Identifying optimal locations for development and conservation.
Projecting future development and its cumulative effects.
Assessing complementary and conflicting landscape values.
Providing decision-support tools for stakeholders.

Data Needs for LSP

Biodiversity elements (species, ecological systems).
Ecosystem service values (water provisioning, cultural values).
Current conditions (land cover, infrastructure).
Future development potential (energy, minerals, agriculture).
Stakeholder engagement and expert review.

Tools for LSP

Data gathering and distribution (regional databases).
Analysis and modeling (vulnerability assessments, spatial models).
Visualization (current and future conditions).
Integration into planning (conservation, land use, and management).

Call to Action

Governments, industries, development agencies, and financial institutions must support LSP.
Policy reforms and institutional support are necessary to promote landscape-scale planning.
Investment in data and technology is essential to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of LSP.
Stakeholder engagement must be prioritized to ensure inclusive and transparent development planning.