Capgemini-航空的未来：创造更环保的明天（英）-2023-12页_7mb

报告摘要

GREENER TOMORROW: DELIVERING THE FUTURE OF AVIATION

Introduction:
Urban population growth and increased demand for air travel drive the need for the aviation industry to play a key role. Sustainability and new aerial mobility are the two defining axes for the future.

Challenge: By 2050, ~9.7 billion people, 70% urbanized, increasing road/rail congestion. Road travel accounts for ~15% of global CO2 emissions.
Opportunity: Aviation can partly address ground transport issues. Two key areas: Sustainable development (Net Zero by 2050) and New aerial mobility (promoted by eVTOL vehicles).

New Aerial Mobility:
eVTOL (Electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) vehicles are emerging.

Definition: Lightweight aircraft for shorter routes, lower altitudes, vertical take-off/landing (like helicopters). Operating costs are cheaper due to electric/hybrid power.
Potential: Address urban congestion; Market for UAM (Urban Air Mobility) valued at ~$9 trillion by 2050.
Delivery: Drone deliveries growing exponentially; Major companies investing (UPS, DHL, Amazon, etc.).

Sustainability Imperative:
Aircraft contributing less than ~2.5% of global CO2, but urgently need decarbonization to meet Net Zero goals.

Alternative Fuels & Power: Electric vehicles, green electro-fuel (synthetic fuel based on renewable energy), SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuels from biological sources), Hydrogen.
Challenges: Technological hurdles, need for massive production/supply capacity (focusing significantly on SAF/Hydrogen now), establishing supporting infrastructure.

A Global Approach:
Global collaboration is essential across industries.

Required Partnerships: Aerospace (design, ATC, safety); Automotive (battery tech, volume production, supply chain); Telecommunications (5G for connectivity).
Value: Cloud-based engineering, unified software tools (PLM, MBSE), insights, risk mitigation, accelerated innovation.
Cloud Engineering: Facilitates global teams, continuous workflow, simulation, economies of scale, and reduces travel.
Software Curation: Necessitates careful selection based on project needs and integration capability.

Driving Factors & Action:

Social/Economic Pressure: "Flight shaming"加剧人才流失风险。
Passenger Demand Skyrocketing: 4.5 billion to 10 billion passengers (2019-2050 baseline).
Sourcing demands sustainable solutions: Technology, fuels, operations. Mitigating non-CO2 impacts.

Conclusion:
Accelerate development and launch sustainable aviation technologies.

Partner ecosystem is crucial.
Leveraging global technologies and partners provides viable pathways meeting sustainability goals faster and achieving competitive advantage.

Capgemini Partnership Value:

Cross-sector experience (aerospace, energy, auto, telecom).
Expertise in sustainability, flight simulation, autonomous systems.
Provides strategic partners, eliminating coordination complexity, and offering global solutions for distributed teams.

展开完整摘要