2015年-世界发展银行全球_Independent_Evaluation_of_the_Marrakech_Action_Plan_for_Statistics_77页_1mb

Summary of the Independent Evaluation of the Marrakech Action Plan for Statistics

Core Content

The Independent Evaluation of the Marrakech Action Plan for Statistics (MAPS) is a report conducted by Brian T. Ngo in March 2015. It evaluates the performance of five major partnership programs under MAPS, focusing on their effectiveness, efficiency, relevance, and sustainability. The evaluation was carried out by the World Bank’s Development Grant Facility (DGF) and covers the period from 2006 to 2014. The report highlights the role of the Partnership in Statistics for Development in the 21st Century (PARIS21) and the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) in managing these programs. The DGF is set to be phased out in 2015.

Main Findings

IHSN and ADP

• Relevance: The programs have been crucial in improving the availability and accessibility of household survey data, supporting policy-making and monitoring of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
• Effectiveness:
  • The IHSN microdata management toolkit has been widely used and appreciated.
  • The inventory, documentation, and archiving of national survey data have been achieved in many countries.
  • The IHSN/ADP has increased awareness and access to microdata, as evidenced by the high number of visits and downloads from the National Data Archive (NADA).
  • The external evaluation noted that while the programs have improved data availability, their impact on effective data use is harder to measure.
  • The IHSN has limited effectiveness in survey coordination at the country level, leading to a rethinking of its role and a decision to involve the United Nations Statistical Commission (UNSC).
• Sustainability:
  • Most countries continue activities independently after receiving training.
  • New countries are joining the ADP.
  • NADAs are still operational, and an automated monitoring system has been set up to provide remote support.
• Efficiency:
  • The programs have been economical in the use of financial and human resources.
  • Over 90% of grant funding has been directly used for implementation.
  • The number of full-time equivalent staff has been kept small due to reliance on international consultants.

NSDSs (National Strategies for the Development of Statistics)

• Relevance: NSDSs are considered a key goal of MAPS, with strong international consensus.
• Effectiveness:
  • As of March 2014, 88% of IDA countries are implementing, designing, or awaiting adoption of their NSDSs.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa shows a higher participation rate (95%).
  • There is a noticeable increase in the Statistical Capacity Indicator (SCI) scores for 82 IDA-eligible countries over a 10-year period.
  • NSDSs have strengthened the status of statistics in the development agenda and fostered greater attention to data demand.
• Sustainability:
  • PARIS21 has played a critical role in supporting the development of NSDSs in developing countries.
  • About 50 countries have benefited from PARIS21’s assistance.
• Efficiency:
  • Management costs have remained steady at around 15–21% of total expenditures.
  • The program has delivered its agreed outputs consistently within the allocated budgets.

Improvement in Gender Statistics

• Relevance:
  • The program on gender statistics is driven by the demands of international conferences on women and the ongoing focus on gender equality.
  • The relevance of gender statistics is regularly renewed with new policy issues.
• Effectiveness:
  • The partnership program has advanced the global gender statistics agenda.
  • Coverage has expanded from a fragmented approach to a minimum set of 52 quantitative and 11 qualitative gender indicators.
  • Availability of gender statistics has increased, with many countries now producing sex-disaggregated data on population, education, employment, and political representation.
  • Newer areas such as child labour, time use, and violence against women are increasingly covered.
  • The program has also contributed to mainstreaming gender statistics into national systems.
• Sustainability:
  • The proposed standalone goal on gender equality in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is expected to increase demand for gender statistics.
• Efficiency:
  • The program has consistently delivered outputs within budget, as confirmed by consultations with UNSD and DECDG staff.

Help Countries Participate in the 2010 Population Census Round

• Relevance:
  • The program aligns with the UN’s call for population censuses every ten years.
• Effectiveness:
  • 214 out of 235 countries, areas, or territories participated in the 2010 census round, covering 93% of the world population.
  • The number of countries missing the census round decreased from 26 to 21.
  • Countries in Africa and Oceania have made significant progress in census participation.
  • There has been an increased use of alternative census methodologies and collaboration in data collection and dissemination.
• Sustainability:
  • Technological advances have helped sustain outcomes and limit cost increases.
• Efficiency:
  • The program has delivered its activities within the allocated budgets, as confirmed by staff consultations.

Lessons and Recommendations

• Clear Objectives: The evaluation highlights the importance of setting clear objectives in terms of outputs and outcomes to enhance program effectiveness.
• Timelines: Specific timelines for program delivery have contributed to successful outcomes.
• Selectivity: More selectivity in program implementation could lead to more coordinated and impactful interventions.
• Multiannual Funding: Multiannual funding is recommended for capacity-building activities to avoid the challenges of annual funding cycles.
• Operationalization of DGF Arrangements: The phasing out of DGF funding requires a rethinking of program approaches, especially for those managed by PARIS21.

Key Programs and Agencies

• IHSN (International Household Survey Network): Aims to improve survey data availability, reduce duplication, and enhance cost-effectiveness.
• ADP (Accelerated Data Program): Focuses on building national capacity in microdata management and improving data use.
• NSDSs (National Strategies for the Development of Statistics): Aims to develop and implement national statistical strategies.
• UNSD (United Nations Statistics Division): Managed the Gender Statistics and 2010 Census programs.
• PARIS21: Managed the IHSN and ADP programs, providing technical assistance and coordination.

Conclusion

The evaluation concludes that the five MAPS partnership programs have made significant contributions to statistical capacity building in developing countries. While effectiveness and efficiency have been achieved, sustainability and impact on data use remain areas for further improvement. The report recommends a more strategic and selective approach, along with multiannual funding, to ensure continued progress under future initiatives such as the Busan Action Plan for Statistics (BAPS).