2024-09-29-世界银行-基于登记的贫困和社会排斥测量（英）_130页_2mb

报告摘要

Summary of Key Recommendations

Institutional Set-up for Tracking Poverty & Social Exclusion

The MLPSFSP should establish a formal institutional arrangement with other stakeholders (Tax Administration, MJPADT, CBS) to define data access, IT infrastructure for secure data exchange, and responsibilities for estimating and analyzing indicators. The following four implementation options are proposed:

Option 1: MLPSFSP-led implementation

Requires direct access to microdata, secure IT infrastructure, and staff with econometric skills
Suitable for full control but demand-intensive

Option 2: Joint implementation with Tax Administration

Tax Administration handles data processing and AROP calculations
MLPSFSP focuses on analysis and reporting to leverage complementary expertise

Option 3: Joint implementation with MJPADT

Utilizes the MJPADT's Data Lake infrastructure for secure data exchange
Requires resolving data access mechanisms

Option 4: Joint implementation with CBS

CBS computes statistics, either as implementer or facilitator
Requires institutional agreement and resource allocation

Monitoring System Development

A comprehensive monitoring system is proposed to track poverty (AROP/AROPE-S rates) and social exclusion indicators at NUTS 3/LAU levels. Core components include:

Timelines:
- 2025-2026: Develop institutional framework, pilot indicator framework
- 2027-2028: Establish full monitoring system, produce annual reports
Key Tech Requirements:
- Implement secure data sharing infrastructure
- Design collection/processing forms standardizing inputs across domains
- Create visualizations for geographically disaggregated data

Poverty Indicators & Recommendations

AROP/AROPE-S Simplified: Proposed as a proxy AROPE rate using register/Register-linked tax data, adjusted for imputation challenges
Social Exclusion Indicators: Proposed across nine domains (household income, social protection, labor, health etc.) with data source requirements

Institutional Actions

Establish formal agreements specifying:
- Data ownership and access protocols
- Clearly defined responsibility chains
- Sustainable funding mechanisms