战略与国际研究中心-Southeast-Asia-Bulletin-March-2009_5页_538kb

报告摘要

Southeast Asia Bulletin Summary

Core Content

The CSIS Southeast Asia Initiative is a project of the International Security Program, Asia Division, launched in January 2008 to enhance the focus and analysis of Southeast Asian affairs within the U.S. policy community. It organizes roundtables, conferences, studies, and forums to highlight developments in the region and fosters partnerships with both domestic and international entities to improve information exchange and outreach.

Main Points and Key Information

1. Feature Article: Toward a New Partnership of Equals

Author: Jose Ramos-Horta, President of Timor-Leste and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate (1996)
Main Argument: The U.S. has historically failed to lead effectively in key international issues, such as climate change, international trade, and peace agreements. It calls for a shift toward more inclusive and equitable international partnerships.
Key Recommendations:
- Expand the G-7 to include major regional players like Brazil, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, China, India, and Indonesia.
- Address global poverty by allocating funds toward poverty alleviation programs in developing countries.
- Reform the UN Security Council to better represent Asia and include Muslim-majority nations.
- Promote a new U.S.-Russia partnership to foster peace and prosperity in Europe and the Middle East.
- Advocate for special status for Israel in the EU and NATO, and for a strategic partnership with both India and China to reduce nuclear proliferation in the region.

2. Events in February & March 2009

February 2, 2009:
- Indonesian military officers meet to discuss neutrality in upcoming elections.
- Indonesia and Singapore resolve a disputed sea border, including Nipah Island.
- Brunei sends peacekeeping troops to the Southern Philippines.
February 3, 2009:
- 1,000 protesters in Thailand oppose a proposed Rohingya refugee center.
February 4, 2009:
- Malaysian opposition lawmakers defect to the ruling coalition, leading to suspension and political setbacks.
February 11, 2009:
- Philippine Supreme Court rules on the release of U.S. Marine Daniel Smith, who was convicted of rape.
February 12, 2009:
- Taufik, a former GAM leader, is fatally shot in Aceh, signaling ongoing violence.
February 17, 2009:
- Philippines passes the revised Baselines Bill, claiming islands in the Spratlys.
- UN Khmer Rouge trials begin in Phnom Penh.
- President Obama signs a $787 billion stimulus package including funds for Filipino WWII veterans.
February 22, 2009:
- Myanmar releases 19 political prisoners, including 5 monks and members of Aung San Suu Kyi's party.
February 24-27, 2009:
- Thousands of Thai "red shirt" supporters protest against the government during the ASEAN Summit.
February 26, 2009:
- UN Security Council extends UNMIT mandate in Timor-Leste for 12 more months.
February 27–March 1, 2009:
- 14th ASEAN Summit in Hua Hin, Thailand. The summit focused on economic cooperation and human rights, but the latter was hindered by non-interference policies.

3. U.S. Engagement in the Region

February 6, 2009:
- Indonesian Vice President Jusuf Kalla meets with U.S. Vice President Joe Biden.
February 7, 2009:
- Philippine President Gloria Arroyo visits the U.S., meeting with congressional leaders and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. The lack of a meeting with President Obama sparked media attention.
February 18–19, 2009:
- Secretary of State Hillary Clinton visits Indonesia, emphasizing the U.S.-Indonesia relationship and the potential for a "comprehensive partnership."

4. Miscellaneous Facts About Timor-Leste

History: A Portuguese colony until 1975, occupied by Indonesia until 1999, and became a sovereign state in 2002.
Truth and Friendship Commission: Delivered findings in July 2008, assigning institutional responsibility for human rights abuses to the Indonesian military.
Languages: Portuguese and Tetum are official, with 13% and 91% of the population speaking them, respectively.
Economy: Oil and gas account for about 50% of the country's GNI and 90% of government revenue.

Events to Watch in March 2009

March 19, 2009:
- Admiral Timothy J. Keating testifies before the Senate Armed Services Committee.
March 31, 2009:
- Malaysian Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi steps down, with Najib Razak taking over as leader of UMNO and Barisan Nasional.