战略与国际研究中心-Africa-Notes_-Benin-Joins-the-Pragmatists_4页_991kb
报告摘要
Benin: A Summary of Political and Economic Development (1986)
Core Content
Benin, formerly known as the Republic of Dahomey, is a narrow, coastal state in West Africa, bordered by Nigeria to the west and Togo to the east. With a land area of 43,483 square miles and a population of around 3.7 million, the country's economy is primarily based on agriculture, although it has developed a modest industrial and petroleum sector since 1982.
Historical Context
- Colonial Era: Benin's contact with the West began in the 17th century with the Portuguese trading post at Porto-Novo. French, British, Spanish, and Dutch companies engaged in coastal trade, with the French establishing protectorates in the 1880s. The last slave ship from West Africa departed from Ouidah in 1859.
- Independence and Political Instability: After independence in 1960, Benin experienced a series of political changes, including military coups and short-lived civilian regimes. The military ultimately took control in 1972, leading to the establishment of the National Revolutionary Council in 1974.
- Name Change: In 1975, the country changed its name from Dahomey to Benin, partly to erase colonial memory and the political turbulence of the previous decade.
Ethnic and Political Dynamics
- Ethnic Rivalries: The country is divided into three main regions — the north, southwest, and southeast — with long-standing ethnic tensions. The Fon, dominant in the south, had a strong educational and economic advantage, while the northern groups faced economic disadvantages due to their distance from commercial centers.
- Military Influence: The military has played a central role in Benin's governance, often intervening in political affairs. President Kerekou, a northerner, is a key figure in the military and has been instrumental in shaping the political landscape.
- Regional Political Veterans: In 1970, a triumvirate of regional leaders (Maga, Apithy, Ahomadegbe) was formed to share power, but this experiment lacked real substance and collapsed quickly.
Economic Overview
- Agriculture: The backbone of the economy, employing over 75% of the economically active population and contributing over 40% to GDP. However, food production has declined over the past decade due to drought, low prices paid to farmers, and poor technical skills.
- Industrial Sector: Primarily focused on textiles, beverages, and construction materials, employing only 5% of the economically active population. Many state-owned enterprises face financial difficulties.
- Petroleum: Discovered in 1968, the Seme oil field began production in 1982. Despite its significance, Benin lacks a refinery and must import oil. Known reserves are estimated at 17.7 million barrels.
- Economic Indicators (1982–1984):
- GDP: Declined from $1,061.1 million in 1982 to $932.0 million in 1984 (-6.5%).
- Agriculture: Increased slightly (+4.3%).
- Manufacturing: Slight increase (+4.0%).
- Petroleum: Grew significantly (+25.5%).
- Commerce: Declined by -21.5%.
- Transportation: Declined by -9.2%.
- Gross Domestic Expenditure: Declined by -10.5%.
- Gross Investment: Declined sharply by -47.7%.
- Balance of Payments: Improved from a deficit of $76.3 million in 1983 to $54.7 million in 1984.
- Exchange Rates: The CFA franc depreciated against the U.S. dollar, impacting trade and economic stability.
Foreign Policy and Economic Reforms
- Marxist-Leninist Ideology: President Kerekou adopted Marxism-Leninism in 1974, leading to nationalization of key industries and a shift in foreign relations toward the Soviet bloc. However, economic realities led to a reconsideration of this ideology.
- Shift Toward Pragmatism: By 1980, the government acknowledged widespread disillusionment with socialist policies. Economic reforms were initiated, including the trimming of the parastatal sector and the encouragement of private enterprise.
- International Relations: France remains Benin's most important trading partner, and relations with the U.S. improved with the arrival of an ambassador in 1983. Benin also maintains membership in the Franc Zone, benefiting from the stability of the CFA franc.
- Debt and Financial Crisis: The government's reliance on foreign loans for large development projects has led to a significant rise in external debt, with public debt reaching $581 million by 1984. Debt service is expected to exceed $400 million over the next five years.
Conclusion
Benin's political and economic trajectory since independence has been marked by instability, ethnic tensions, and ideological shifts. While the country has made modest progress in industrialization and petroleum production, its economic challenges persist, driven by external factors and internal mismanagement. The government's recent shift toward economic pragmatism, influenced by international pressures and domestic realities, signals a move away from strict socialist policies, though the ideological rhetoric remains intact. This transition reflects a broader trend among African states reevaluating the role of the state in economic development.
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