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CSIS Global Security Forum Summary

Overview

The CSIS Global Security Forum, held on May 13, 2010 in Washington, DC, was a significant event focusing on various strategic and security challenges facing the United States. The forum featured a range of discussions led by high-ranking military officials, former government leaders, and security experts, covering topics such as U.S. engagement in the Middle East, the role of nuclear weapons, the impact of overseas bases on military power, and the use of technology in warfare.

Core Content

The forum aimed to explore the evolving landscape of global security and the U.S. national security strategy in response to new and emerging threats. It addressed the following key areas:

• Post-Iraq and Afghanistan Strategy: How the U.S. should engage in the Middle East after the conclusion of major military operations.
• Cyber and Anti-Satellite Warfare: The need to stigmatize the use of such attacks and their implications for international security.
• Nuclear Weapons Role: Whether the U.S. should continue to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in its national security strategy.
• Defense Industrial Base: The potential consequences of a smaller defense industrial base for U.S. military capabilities.
• Perception of U.S. Power in Asia: How to address the perception that U.S. influence in the region is waning.
• Counterterrorism: Strategies to combat a fragmented Al-Qaeda.
• Military Robotics: The readiness of the U.S. to deploy robots on the battlefield.

Main Sessions and Key Points

Early Session (9:10 AM - 10:35 AM)

I. U.S. Engagement in the Middle East after Iraq and Afghanistan

• Panelists: General Brent Scowcroft, David Ignatius
• Moderator: Dr. Jon Alterman
• Key Points:
  • The U.S. needs to redefine its role in the Middle East post-conflict.
  • Strategic engagement should focus on long-term stability and partnerships.
  • The lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan should inform future policies.

II. Stigmatizing Cyber- and Anti-Satellite Attacks

• Panelists: Lieutenant General Mike Hamel, Jeffrey K. Harris, General Ronald R. Fogleman
• Moderator: Dr. John Hamre
• Key Points:
  • Cyber and anti-satellite attacks are becoming more prevalent and dangerous.
  • There is a need for international norms and agreements to deter such attacks.
  • The U.S. should lead efforts to establish a framework for responsible behavior in cyberspace.

III. Reducing the Role of Nuclear Weapons

• Panelists: General Larry D. Welch, Hans Kristensen, Dr. Morton H. Halperin
• Moderator: Dr. Clark Murdock
• Key Points:
  • The U.S. is considering a reduced nuclear role, but this must be balanced with deterrence needs.
  • Nuclear weapons remain a critical component of national security, especially in the context of emerging threats.
  • A strategic shift should be based on a comprehensive assessment of global security dynamics.

Middle Session (10:50 AM - 12:15 PM)

I. Impact of Losing Overseas Bases on U.S. Power Projection

• Panelists: General Peter Pace, Ambassador Thomas R. Pickering, Raymond F. DuBois
• Moderator: Dr. Maren Leed
• Key Points:
  • The loss of overseas bases could weaken the U.S. ability to project power globally.
  • The U.S. must maintain a strong and flexible military presence to counter threats.
  • Alternative strategies for power projection, such as alliances and partnerships, were discussed.

II. Domestic Intelligence Agency

• Panelists: Ambassador John Negroponte, Suzanne E. Spaulding, Kevin Brock, John Philip Mudd
• Moderator: Rick "Ozzie" Nelson
• Key Points:
  • The creation of a domestic intelligence agency was debated as a potential solution to intelligence coordination challenges.
  • The need for improved intelligence sharing and integration within the U.S. government was emphasized.
  • Concerns about civil liberties and oversight were raised.

III. Military Robotics on the Battlefield

• Panelists: Rear Admiral Jay Cohen, Dr. Anthony Tether, J.D. Crouch II
• Moderator: G. Kim Wincup
• Key Points:
  • The use of robots in combat is a growing trend with significant implications for warfare.
  • There are concerns about the ethical and strategic implications of autonomous weapons.
  • The U.S. military must adapt to integrate robotics into its operational capabilities.

Afternoon Session (Working Lunch)

I. Smaller Defense Industrial Base

• Panelists: Pierre Chao, Denis A. Bovin, Mark Newman
• Moderator: Dr. John Hamre
• Key Points:
  • A smaller defense industrial base could reduce the U.S. ability to innovate and respond to new threats.
  • There is a need for investment in defense technology and production.
  • Strategic partnerships with allies may help offset the decline in domestic defense capacity.

II. Perception of Waning U.S. Power in Asia

• Panelists: Richard L. Armitage
• Co-Moderators: Dr. Michael J. Green, Ernest Bower
• Key Points:
  • The perception of declining U.S. influence in Asia is a real challenge.
  • Strengthening alliances and demonstrating commitment to regional stability is essential.
  • The U.S. must balance its global commitments with its focus on Asia.

III. Stopping a Fragmented Al-Qaeda

• Panelists: Arnaud de Borchgrave, Dr. Walid Phares, Robert Grenier
• Moderator: Juan Zarate
• Key Points:
  • Al-Qaeda is becoming more fragmented, making it harder to combat as a single entity.
  • A multi-faceted approach is needed, including counterterrorism, intelligence, and regional cooperation.
  • The U.S. must work closely with allies and local partners to address the threat effectively.

Conclusion

The CSIS Global Security Forum provided a platform for critical discussions on the future of U.S. national security and global strategy. It highlighted the need for adaptability in military engagement, the establishment of norms for emerging technologies, and the importance of maintaining a strong defense industrial base. The event also underscored the challenges of counterterrorism and the perception of U.S. power in key regions, emphasizing the necessity of strategic foresight and international collaboration.