2025-06-10-Jefferies-2025年5月共同基金_股票资金流入因较高赎回量而下降;系统性投资计划(SIP)稳定_10页_781kb
报告摘要
Equity Market Analysis: India
Net Equity Flows (ex. arbitrage & NFOs) in May-25:
- Down 21% month-on-month (MoM) at Rs227bn, representing 0.6% of operational AUM.
- Equity lumpsum net outflows at Rs12bn, the first fall since July 23, attributed to a sharp market rally.
- SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) flows remained stable at Rs267bn, up 28% year-on-year (YoY) and unchanged MoM.
- Number of contributing SIP accounts increased by 2% MoM to 86mn, a 30% YoY rise.
Fund House AUM Growth:
- Total AUM grew 3% MoM to Rs72tn, with a 23% YoY increase.
- Equity AUM increased 5% MoM (27% YoY) to Rs31tn.
Category-Wise Performance:
- Equity category experienced broadly lower net flows, especially large-cap funds (flows down 53% MoM).
- SIP growth remains robust with Rs267bn in May-25, driven by healthy inflows.
Other Highlights:
- Debt funds saw net inflows of Rs206bn, marking the highest monthly inflows to date in May-25.
- Liquid funds recorded significant net outflows of Rs370bn.
- Equity and ETF/FoF categories are growing fastest, leading overall AUM growth.
- HDFC AMC and Nippon Life India Asset Management (NAM) are highlighted with price targets of Rs5,000 and Rs800 respectively under a 'Buy' rating based on future earnings multiples.
Key Risks & Considerations:
- Equity markets face risks including continued down-cycle, competition, tepid NFO responses, and style diversification challenges.
- ETFs and FoFs saw lower flows, while credit funds continued to experience outflows.
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