战略与国际研究中心-Global-Economics-Monthly,-December-2019_2页_428kb

Global Economics Monthly Summary

Core Content

The Global Economics Monthly is a monthly newsletter from the Simon Chair in Political Economy at CSIS, published in December 2019. It highlights the key activities, analyses, and upcoming events of the Simon Chair, focusing on international economic affairs and global policy trends.

Main Issues and Views

In the context of the end of 2019 and the anticipation of 2020, the Simon Chair team, including Matthew P. Goodman, Stephanie Segal, and Jonathan Hillman, identified five key issues that will shape the international economic landscape in 2020. These issues are tracked and analyzed by the Simon Chair throughout the year, providing insights into global economic dynamics and challenges.

The newsletter also features a podcast titled Goodbye 2019, Hello 2020: Same Challenges Ahead?, where Beverly Kirk from the CSIS Smart Women Smart Power initiative discusses the year's security and foreign policy topics with experts Kathleen Hicks, Sarah Ladislaw, and Stephanie Segal. The podcast explores whether the challenges facing global economics will persist into the new year.

US-China Trade Agreement

The US-China phase-one trade agreement is noted as a partial deal that has not fully resolved the deep-seated issues between the two nations. While some market participants view the agreement as a positive development that alleviates global economic uncertainty, the authors of the newsletter caution that global supply chains remain disrupted, U.S. presidential elections are approaching, and U.S.-China competition is expected to continue in the future.

Reconnecting Asia Project

The Reconnecting Asia project is highlighted as a key initiative that provides insights into the economic and strategic implications of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). A three-day executive course is offered by CSIS, which serves as an introduction to the BRI at a Master's level. The course aims to clarify the nature of the BRI, its impact on commercial and strategic realities, and its broader implications for global economics.

New Senior Adviser

The Simon Chair welcomes Ambassador Kurt Tong as a Senior Adviser (Non-resident). With over 30 years of experience in the State Department, Ambassador Tong has held high-ranking positions, including as consul general and chief of mission in Hong Kong and Macau. He is currently a partner at the Asia Group, focusing on Japan and East Asia. His expertise in diplomacy and economic affairs adds significant value to the Simon Chair's analysis and engagement in regional and global economic issues.

Upcoming Events

The newsletter outlines several upcoming events and discussions that will be hosted by the Simon Chair in early 2020:

• JAN. 8: Strategic Japan: Shaping the Rules Based Order in the Reiwa Era – A discussion on Japan's leadership in international and regional institutions and potential U.S.-Japan cooperation.
• JAN. 9: Schieffer Series: 2020 Challenges Ahead – An event featuring CSIS experts and Bob Schieffer to explore key global economic and policy challenges.
• JAN. 22: Asia Forecast 2020 – An annual preview of political, security, and economic developments across Asia.
• JAN. 23: Cities of Tomorrow: Safety, Smarts, and Surveillance – A panel discussion on the role of smart cities in shaping development and governance in an increasingly urban and digital world.

Key Information

• The Simon Chair at CSIS is led by Matthew P. Goodman, with support from Grace Hearty (Deputy Director), Jonathan Hillman (Senior Fellow & Reconnecting Asia Director), Stephanie Segal (Senior Fellow), and a team of research assistants and program coordinators.
• The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a central theme in the Reconnecting Asia project, with a focus on its economic and strategic impact.
• The US-China trade relationship remains a critical area of concern, with the phase-one agreement seen as a temporary measure rather than a long-term solution.
• The newsletter emphasizes the importance of monitoring global economic trends and the ongoing challenges in international relations and economic policy.

Conclusion

The Global Economics Monthly provides a comprehensive overview of the Simon Chair's activities, key economic issues, and future outlook. It underscores the need for continuous analysis and engagement in a rapidly evolving global economic environment, with a particular focus on U.S.-China relations, smart city development, and the BRI's influence on international economic structures.