黑色金属产业链周报总结(2026.06.22-06.26)
核心内容概览
本报告分析了黑色金属产业链中螺纹钢和铁矿石期货的中线行情趋势、交易策略以及相关市场数据情况,为投资者提供参考建议。
螺纹钢期货分析
中线趋势判断
- 螺纹钢期货主力合约日线级别运行于2944至3392的整理区间。
- 建筑钢材下游需求相对平淡,而工业板材需求有所回暖。
- 中线技术走势处于宽幅整理区间格局。
交易策略建议
- 在价格区间整理阶段,建议采用网格交易策略。
- 网格参数:天线3392,地线2944,网格间距32,网格数量14。
现货企业套期保值建议
产量分布(单位:万吨)
| 地区 |
产量 |
| 新疆 |
7.14 |
| 青海 |
3.58 |
| 宁夏 |
7.00 |
| 陕西 |
2.80 |
| 内蒙古 |
6.23 |
| 山西 |
11.00 |
| 河南 |
8.80 |
| 湖北 |
6.90 |
| 浙江 |
15.48 |
| 上海 |
34.36 |
| 江西 |
17.27 |
| 广东 |
22.29 |
| 广西 |
5.20 |
| 河北 |
5.00 |
| 湖南 |
5.95 |
| 吉林 |
7.30 |
| 黑龙江 |
7.30 |
成交量(单位:吨)
| 日期 |
成交量 |
| 2023-06-19 |
140,000 |
| 2023-09-22 |
180,000 |
| 2024-01-03 |
100,000 |
| 2024-04-28 |
190,000 |
| 2024-08-05 |
130,000 |
| 2024-11-13 |
150,000 |
| 2025-03-14 |
140,000 |
| 2025-06-24 |
120,000 |
| 2026-05-08 |
160,000 |
采购量(单位:吨)
| 日期 |
采购量 |
| 2023-06-23 |
15000 |
| 2023-07-04 |
14000 |
| 2023-07-13 |
13500 |
| 2023-07-22 |
14500 |
| 2023-08-05 |
15500 |
| 2023-08-14 |
16000 |
| 2023-08-23 |
15800 |
| 2023-09-06 |
15200 |
| 2023-09-15 |
14800 |
| 2023-09-24 |
15500 |
| 2023-10-06 |
16500 |
| 2023-10-15 |
17000 |
| 2023-10-24 |
16800 |
| 2023-11-06 |
16500 |
| 2023-11-15 |
16000 |
| 2023-11-24 |
15500 |
| 2024-01-06 |
14000 |
| 2024-01-15 |
13500 |
| 2024-01-24 |
13000 |
| 2024-02-06 |
12500 |
| 2024-02-15 |
12000 |
| 2024-02-24 |
11500 |
| 2024-03-06 |
11000 |
| 2024-03-15 |
10500 |
| 2024-03-24 |
10000 |
| 2024-04-06 |
9500 |
| 2024-04-15 |
9000 |
| 2024-04-24 |
8500 |
| 2024-05-16 |
8000 |
| 2024-05-25 |
7500 |
| 2024-06-14 |
7000 |
| 2024-06-23 |
6500 |
| 2024-07-13 |
6000 |
| 2024-07-22 |
5500 |
| 2024-08-11 |
5000 |
| 2024-08-29 |
4500 |
| 2024-09-37 |
4000 |
| 2024-10-45 |
3500 |
| 2024-11-53 |
3000 |
| 2024-12-79 |
2000 |
| 2025-1/79 |
150 |
| 2/8/79 |
18,5 |
| 2/9/79 |
21,5 |
| 2/18/79 |
19,5 |
| 3/18/79 |
18,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
17,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
16,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
15,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
14,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
13,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
12,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
11,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
10,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
9,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
8,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
7,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
6,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
5,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
4,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
3,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
2,5 |
| 3/3/79 |
5 |
| 3/3/79 |
-5 |
| 3/3/79 |
-15 |
| 3/3/79 |
-25 |
| 3/3/79 |
-35 |
| 3/3/79 |
-45 |
| 3/3/79 |
-55 |
| 3/3/79 |
-65 |
| 3/3/79 |
-75 |
| 3/3/79 |
-85 |
| 3/3/79 |
-95 |
| 3/3/79 |
-105 |
| 3/3/79 |
-115 |
| 3/3/79 |
-125 |
| 3/3/79 |
-135 |
| 3/3/79 |
-145 |
| 3/3/79 |
-155 |
| 3/3/79 |
-165 |
| 3/3/79 |
-175 |
| 3/3/79 |
-185 |
| 3/3/79 |
-195 |
| 3/3/79 |
-205 |
| 3/3/79 |
-215 |
| 3/3/79 |
-225 |
| 3/3/79 |
-235 |
| 3/3/79 |
-245 |
| 3/3/79 |
-255 |
| 3/3/79 |
-265 |
| 3/3/79 |
-275 |
| 3/3/79 |
-285 |
| 3/3/79 |
-295 |
| 3/3/79 |
-305 |
| 3/3/79 |
-315 |
| 3/3/79 |
-325 |
| 3/3/79 |
-335 |
| 3/3/79 |
-345 |
| 3/3/79 |
-355 |
| 3/3/79 |
-365 |
| 3/3/79 |
-375 |
| 3/3/79 |
-385 |
| 3/3/79 |
-395 |
| 3/3/79 |
-405 |
| 3/3/79 |
-415 |
| 3/3/79 |
-425 |
| 3/3/79 |
-435 |
| 3/3/79 |
-445 |
| 3/3/79 |
-455 |
| 3/3/79 |
-465 |
| 3/3/79 |
-475 |
| 3/3/79 |
-485 |
| 3/3/79 |
-495 |
| 3/3/79 |
-505 |
| 3/3/79 |
-515 |
| 3/3/79 |
-525 |
| 3/3/79 |
-535 |
| 3/3/79 |
-545 |
| 3/3/79 |
-555 |
| 3/3/79 |
-565 |
| 3/3/79 |
-575 |
| 3/3/79 |
-585 |
| 3/3/79 |
-595 |
| 3/3/79 |
-605 |
| 3/3/79 |
-615 |
| 3/3/79 |
-625 |
| 3/3/79 |
-635 |
| 3/3/79 |
-645 |
| 3/3/79 |
-655 |
| 3/3/79 |
-665 |
| 3/3/79 |
-675 |
| 3/3/79 |
-685 |
| 3/3/79 |
-695 |
| 3/3/79 |
-705 |
| 3/3/79 |
-715 |
| 3/3/79 |
-725 |
| 3/3/79 |
-735 |
| 3/3/79 |
-745 |
| 3/3/79 |
-755 |
| 3/3/79 |
-765 |
| 3/3/79 |
-775 |
| 3/3/79 |
-785 |
| 3/3/79 |
-795 |
| 3/3/79 |
-805 |
| 3/3/79 |
-815 |
| 3/3/79 |
-825 |
| 3/3/79 |
-835 |
| 3/3/79 |
-845 |
| 3/3/79 |
-855 |
| 3/3/79 |
-865 |
| 3/3/79 |
-875 |
| 3/3/79 |
-885 |
| 3/3/79 |
-895 |
| 3/3/79 |
-905 |
| 3/3/79 |
-915 |
| 3/3/79 |
-925 |
| 3/3/79 |
-935 |
| 3/3/79 |
-945 |
| 3/3/79 |
-955 |
| 3/3/79 |
-965 |
| 3/3/79 |
-975 |
| 3/3/79 |
-985 |
| 3/3/79 |
-995 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1005 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1015 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1025 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1035 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1045 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1055 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1065 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1075 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1085 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1095 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1105 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1115 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1125 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1135 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1145 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1155 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1165 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1175 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1185 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1195 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1205 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1215 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1225 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1235 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1245 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1255 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1265 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1275 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1285 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1295 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1305 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1315 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1325 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1335 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1345 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1355 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1365 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1375 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1385 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1395 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1405 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1415 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1425 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1435 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1445 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1455 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1465 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1475 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1485 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1495 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1505 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1515 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1525 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1535 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1545 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1555 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1565 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1575 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1585 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1595 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1605 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1615 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1625 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1635 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1645 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1655 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1665 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1675 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1685 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1695 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1705 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1715 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1725 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1735 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1745 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1755 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1765 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1775 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1785 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1795 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1805 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1815 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1825 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1835 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1845 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1855 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1865 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1875 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1885 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1895 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1905 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1915 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1925 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1935 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1945 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1955 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1965 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1975 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1985 |
| 3/3/79 |
-1995 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2005 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2015 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2025 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2035 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2045 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2055 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2065 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2075 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2085 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2095 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2105 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2115 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2125 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2135 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2145 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2155 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2165 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2175 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2185 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2195 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2205 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2215 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2225 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2235 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2245 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2255 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2265 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2275 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2285 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2295 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2305 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2315 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2325 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2335 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2345 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2355 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2365 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2375 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2385 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2395 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2405 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2415 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2425 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2435 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2445 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2455 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2465 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2475 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2485 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2495 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2505 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2515 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2525 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2535 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2545 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2555 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2565 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2575 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2585 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2595 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2605 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2615 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2625 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2635 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2645 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2655 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2665 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2675 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2685 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2695 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2705 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2715 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2725 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2735 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2745 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2755 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2765 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2775 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2785 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2795 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2805 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2815 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2825 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2835 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2845 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2855 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2865 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2875 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2885 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2895 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2905 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2915 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2925 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2935 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2945 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2955 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2965 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2975 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2985 |
| 3/3/79 |
-2995 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3005 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3015 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3025 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3035 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3045 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3055 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3065 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3075 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3085 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3095 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3105 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3115 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3125 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3135 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3145 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3155 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3165 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3175 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3185 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3195 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3205 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3215 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3225 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3235 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3245 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3255 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3265 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3275 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3285 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3295 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3305 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3315 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3325 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3335 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3345 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3355 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3365 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3375 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3385 |
| 3/3/79 |
-3395 |
机构观点与技术指标
- 多空流向:-24.3(主力略微偏空)
- 资金能量:14.1(资金基本维持稳定)
- 多空分歧:70.9(有一定的变盘风险)
- 主力资金:快速涌入,但整体偏空
- AI评分为-24.3,在历史上属于较小幅度的流空
铁矿石期货分析
中线趋势判断
- 铁矿石期货主力合约运行于722至862的整理区间。
- 上游原材料供应充足,下游钢材需求平稳,静候行业需求复苏。
- 中线趋势继续运行于区间整理格局。
交易策略建议
- 在区间整理阶段,建议采用网格交易策略。
- 网格参数:天线862,地线722,网格间距10,网格数量14。
发货量(单位:万吨)
| 日期 |
发货量 |
| Jan-16 |
~85 |
| Feb-16 |
~95 |
| Mar-16 |
~115 |
| Apr-16 |
~135 |
| May-16 |
~155 |
| Jun-16 |
~175 |
| Jul-16 |
~195 |
| Aug-16 |
~215 |
| Sep-16 |
~235 |
| Oct-16 |
~255 |
| Nov-16 |
~275 |
| Dec-16 |
~295 |
| Jan-17 |
~315 |
| Feb-17 |
~335 |
| Mar-17 |
~355 |
| Apr-17 |
~375 |
| May-17 |
~395 |
| Jun-17 |
~415 |
| Jul-17 |
~435 |
| Aug-17 |
~455 |
| Sep-17 |
~475 |
| Oct-17 |
~495 |
| Nov-17 |
~515 |
| Dec-17 |
~535 |
| Jan-Mar |
~85 |
| Feb-Mar |
~95 |
| Mar-Mar |
~115 |
| Apr-Mar |
~135 |
| May-Mar |
~155 |
| Jun-Mar |
~175 |
| Jul-Mar |
~195 |
| Aug-Mar |
~215 |
| Sep-Mar |
~235 |
| Oct-Mar |
~255 |
| Nov-Mar |
~275 |
| Dec-Mar |
~295 |
| Jan-Apr |
~85 |
| Feb-Apr |
~95 |
| Mar-Apr |
~115 |
| Apr-Apr |
~135 |
| May-Apr |
~155 |
| Jun-Apr |
~175 |
| Jul-Apr |
~195 |
| Aug-Apr |
~215 |
| Sep-Apr |
~235 |
| Oct-Apr |
~255 |
| Nov-Apr |
~275 |
| Dec-Apr |
~295 |
| Jan-May |
~85 |
| Feb-May |
~95 |
| Mar-May |
~115 |
| Apr-May |
~135 |
| May-May |
~155 |
| Jun-May |
~175 |
| Jul-May |
~195 |
| Aug-May |
~215 |
| Sep-May |
~235 |
| Oct-May |
~255 |
| Nov-May |
~275 |
| Dec-May |
~295 |
| Jan-Jun |
~85 |
| Feb-Jun |
~95 |
| Mar-Jun |
~115 |
| Apr-Jun |
~135 |
| May-Jun |
~155 |
| Jun-Jun |
~175 |
| Jul-Jun |
~195 |
| Aug-Jun |
~215 |
| Sep-Jun |
~235 |
| Oct-Jun |
~255 |
| Nov-Jun |
~275 |
| Dec-Jun |
~295 |
| Jan-Jul |
~85 |
| Feb-Jul |
~95 |
| Mar-Jul |
~115 |
| Apr-Jul |
~135 |
| May-Jul |
~155 |
| Jun-Jul |
~175 |
| Jul-Jul |
~195 |
| Aug-Jul |
~2 |