> **来源：[研报客](https://pc.yanbaoke.cn)** # 黑色金属产业链周报总结（2026.06.22-06.26） ## 核心内容概览 本报告分析了黑色金属产业链中螺纹钢和铁矿石期货的中线行情趋势、交易策略以及相关市场数据情况，为投资者提供参考建议。 --- ## 螺纹钢期货分析 ### 中线趋势判断 - 螺纹钢期货主力合约日线级别运行于**2944至3392**的整理区间。 - 建筑钢材下游需求相对平淡，而工业板材需求有所回暖。 - 中线技术走势处于**宽幅整理区间格局**。 ### 交易策略建议 - 在价格区间整理阶段，建议采用**网格交易策略**。 - 网格参数：天线**3392**，地线**2944**，网格间距**32**，网格数量**14**。 ### 现货企业套期保值建议 - 建议**观望等待中线趋势明朗**。 ### 产量分布（单位：万吨） | 地区 | 产量 | |------|------| | 新疆 | 7.14 | | 青海 | 3.58 | | 宁夏 | 7.00 | | 陕西 | 2.80 | | 内蒙古 | 6.23 | | 山西 | 11.00 | | 河南 | 8.80 | | 湖北 | 6.90 | | 浙江 | 15.48 | | 上海 | 34.36 | | 江西 | 17.27 | | 广东 | 22.29 | | 广西 | 5.20 | | 河北 | 5.00 | | 湖南 | 5.95 | | 吉林 | 7.30 | | 黑龙江 | 7.30 | ### 成交量（单位：吨） | 日期 | 成交量 | |------------|--------| | 2023-06-19 | 140,000 | | 2023-09-22 | 180,000 | | 2024-01-03 | 100,000 | | 2024-04-28 | 190,000 | | 2024-08-05 | 130,000 | | 2024-11-13 | 150,000 | | 2025-03-14 | 140,000 | | 2025-06-24 | 120,000 | | 2026-05-08 | 160,000 | ### 采购量（单位：吨） | 日期 | 采购量 | |------------|--------| | 2023-06-23 | 15000 | | 2023-07-04 | 14000 | | 2023-07-13 | 13500 | | 2023-07-22 | 14500 | | 2023-08-05 | 15500 | | 2023-08-14 | 16000 | | 2023-08-23 | 15800 | | 2023-09-06 | 15200 | | 2023-09-15 | 14800 | | 2023-09-24 | 15500 | | 2023-10-06 | 16500 | | 2023-10-15 | 17000 | | 2023-10-24 | 16800 | | 2023-11-06 | 16500 | | 2023-11-15 | 16000 | | 2023-11-24 | 15500 | | 2024-01-06 | 14000 | | 2024-01-15 | 13500 | | 2024-01-24 | 13000 | | 2024-02-06 | 12500 | | 2024-02-15 | 12000 | | 2024-02-24 | 11500 | | 2024-03-06 | 11000 | | 2024-03-15 | 10500 | | 2024-03-24 | 10000 | | 2024-04-06 | 9500 | | 2024-04-15 | 9000 | | 2024-04-24 | 8500 | | 2024-05-16 | 8000 | | 2024-05-25 | 7500 | | 2024-06-14 | 7000 | | 2024-06-23 | 6500 | | 2024-07-13 | 6000 | | 2024-07-22 | 5500 | | 2024-08-11 | 5000 | | 2024-08-29 | 4500 | | 2024-09-37 | 4000 | | 2024-10-45 | 3500 | | 2024-11-53 | 3000 | | 2024-12-79 | 2000 | | 2025-1/79 | 150 | | 2/8/79 | 18,5 | | 2/9/79 | 21,5 | | 2/18/79 | 19,5 | | 3/18/79 | 18,5 | | 3/3/79 | 17,5 | | 3/3/79 | 16,5 | | 3/3/79 | 15,5 | | 3/3/79 | 14,5 | | 3/3/79 | 13,5 | | 3/3/79 | 12,5 | | 3/3/79 | 11,5 | | 3/3/79 | 10,5 | | 3/3/79 | 9,5 | | 3/3/79 | 8,5 | | 3/3/79 | 7,5 | | 3/3/79 | 6,5 | | 3/3/79 | 5,5 | | 3/3/79 | 4,5 | | 3/3/79 | 3,5 | | 3/3/79 | 2,5 | | 3/3/79 | 5 | | 3/3/79 | -5 | | 3/3/79 | -15 | | 3/3/79 | -25 | | 3/3/79 | -35 | | 3/3/79 | -45 | | 3/3/79 | -55 | | 3/3/79 | -65 | | 3/3/79 | -75 | | 3/3/79 | -85 | | 3/3/79 | -95 | | 3/3/79 | -105 | | 3/3/79 | -115 | | 3/3/79 | -125 | | 3/3/79 | -135 | | 3/3/79 | -145 | | 3/3/79 | -155 | | 3/3/79 | -165 | | 3/3/79 | -175 | | 3/3/79 | -185 | | 3/3/79 | -195 | | 3/3/79 | -205 | | 3/3/79 | -215 | | 3/3/79 | -225 | | 3/3/79 | -235 | | 3/3/79 | -245 | | 3/3/79 | -255 | | 3/3/79 | -265 | | 3/3/79 | -275 | | 3/3/79 | -285 | | 3/3/79 | -295 | | 3/3/79 | -305 | | 3/3/79 | -315 | | 3/3/79 | -325 | | 3/3/79 | -335 | | 3/3/79 | -345 | | 3/3/79 | -355 | | 3/3/79 | -365 | | 3/3/79 | -375 | | 3/3/79 | -385 | | 3/3/79 | -395 | | 3/3/79 | -405 | | 3/3/79 | -415 | | 3/3/79 | -425 | | 3/3/79 | -435 | | 3/3/79 | -445 | | 3/3/79 | -455 | | 3/3/79 | -465 | | 3/3/79 | -475 | | 3/3/79 | -485 | | 3/3/79 | -495 | | 3/3/79 | -505 | | 3/3/79 | -515 | | 3/3/79 | -525 | | 3/3/79 | -535 | | 3/3/79 | -545 | | 3/3/79 | -555 | | 3/3/79 | -565 | | 3/3/79 | -575 | | 3/3/79 | -585 | | 3/3/79 | -595 | | 3/3/79 | -605 | | 3/3/79 | -615 | | 3/3/79 | -625 | | 3/3/79 | -635 | | 3/3/79 | -645 | | 3/3/79 | -655 | | 3/3/79 | -665 | | 3/3/79 | -675 | | 3/3/79 | -685 | | 3/3/79 | -695 | | 3/3/79 | -705 | | 3/3/79 | -715 | | 3/3/79 | -725 | | 3/3/79 | -735 | | 3/3/79 | -745 | | 3/3/79 | -755 | | 3/3/79 | -765 | | 3/3/79 | -775 | | 3/3/79 | -785 | | 3/3/79 | -795 | | 3/3/79 | -805 | | 3/3/79 | -815 | | 3/3/79 | -825 | | 3/3/79 | -835 | | 3/3/79 | -845 | | 3/3/79 | -855 | | 3/3/79 | -865 | | 3/3/79 | -875 | | 3/3/79 | -885 | | 3/3/79 | -895 | | 3/3/79 | -905 | | 3/3/79 | -915 | | 3/3/79 | -925 | | 3/3/79 | -935 | | 3/3/79 | -945 | | 3/3/79 | -955 | | 3/3/79 | -965 | | 3/3/79 | -975 | | 3/3/79 | -985 | | 3/3/79 | -995 | | 3/3/79 | -1005 | | 3/3/79 | -1015 | | 3/3/79 | -1025 | | 3/3/79 | -1035 | | 3/3/79 | -1045 | | 3/3/79 | -1055 | | 3/3/79 | -1065 | | 3/3/79 | -1075 | | 3/3/79 | -1085 | | 3/3/79 | -1095 | | 3/3/79 | -1105 | | 3/3/79 | -1115 | | 3/3/79 | -1125 | | 3/3/79 | -1135 | | 3/3/79 | -1145 | | 3/3/79 | -1155 | | 3/3/79 | -1165 | | 3/3/79 | -1175 | | 3/3/79 | -1185 | | 3/3/79 | -1195 | | 3/3/79 | -1205 | | 3/3/79 | -1215 | | 3/3/79 | -1225 | | 3/3/79 | -1235 | | 3/3/79 | -1245 | | 3/3/79 | -1255 | | 3/3/79 | -1265 | | 3/3/79 | -1275 | | 3/3/79 | -1285 | | 3/3/79 | -1295 | | 3/3/79 | -1305 | | 3/3/79 | -1315 | | 3/3/79 | -1325 | | 3/3/79 | -1335 | | 3/3/79 | -1345 | | 3/3/79 | -1355 | | 3/3/79 | -1365 | | 3/3/79 | -1375 | | 3/3/79 | -1385 | | 3/3/79 | -1395 | | 3/3/79 | -1405 | | 3/3/79 | -1415 | | 3/3/79 | -1425 | | 3/3/79 | -1435 | | 3/3/79 | -1445 | | 3/3/79 | -1455 | | 3/3/79 | -1465 | | 3/3/79 | -1475 | | 3/3/79 | -1485 | | 3/3/79 | -1495 | | 3/3/79 | -1505 | | 3/3/79 | -1515 | | 3/3/79 | -1525 | | 3/3/79 | -1535 | | 3/3/79 | -1545 | | 3/3/79 | -1555 | | 3/3/79 | -1565 | | 3/3/79 | -1575 | | 3/3/79 | -1585 | | 3/3/79 | -1595 | | 3/3/79 | -1605 | | 3/3/79 | -1615 | | 3/3/79 | -1625 | | 3/3/79 | -1635 | | 3/3/79 | -1645 | | 3/3/79 | -1655 | | 3/3/79 | -1665 | | 3/3/79 | -1675 | | 3/3/79 | -1685 | | 3/3/79 | -1695 | | 3/3/79 | -1705 | | 3/3/79 | -1715 | | 3/3/79 | -1725 | | 3/3/79 | -1735 | | 3/3/79 | -1745 | | 3/3/79 | -1755 | | 3/3/79 | -1765 | | 3/3/79 | -1775 | | 3/3/79 | -1785 | | 3/3/79 | -1795 | | 3/3/79 | -1805 | | 3/3/79 | -1815 | | 3/3/79 | -1825 | | 3/3/79 | -1835 | | 3/3/79 | -1845 | | 3/3/79 | -1855 | | 3/3/79 | -1865 | | 3/3/79 | -1875 | | 3/3/79 | -1885 | | 3/3/79 | -1895 | | 3/3/79 | -1905 | | 3/3/79 | -1915 | | 3/3/79 | -1925 | | 3/3/79 | -1935 | | 3/3/79 | -1945 | | 3/3/79 | -1955 | | 3/3/79 | -1965 | | 3/3/79 | -1975 | | 3/3/79 | -1985 | | 3/3/79 | -1995 | | 3/3/79 | -2005 | | 3/3/79 | -2015 | | 3/3/79 | -2025 | | 3/3/79 | -2035 | | 3/3/79 | -2045 | | 3/3/79 | -2055 | | 3/3/79 | -2065 | | 3/3/79 | -2075 | | 3/3/79 | -2085 | | 3/3/79 | -2095 | | 3/3/79 | -2105 | | 3/3/79 | -2115 | | 3/3/79 | -2125 | | 3/3/79 | -2135 | | 3/3/79 | -2145 | | 3/3/79 | -2155 | | 3/3/79 | -2165 | | 3/3/79 | -2175 | | 3/3/79 | -2185 | | 3/3/79 | -2195 | | 3/3/79 | -2205 | | 3/3/79 | -2215 | | 3/3/79 | -2225 | | 3/3/79 | -2235 | | 3/3/79 | -2245 | | 3/3/79 | -2255 | | 3/3/79 | -2265 | | 3/3/79 | -2275 | | 3/3/79 | -2285 | | 3/3/79 | -2295 | | 3/3/79 | -2305 | | 3/3/79 | -2315 | | 3/3/79 | -2325 | | 3/3/79 | -2335 | | 3/3/79 | -2345 | | 3/3/79 | -2355 | | 3/3/79 | -2365 | | 3/3/79 | -2375 | | 3/3/79 | -2385 | | 3/3/79 | -2395 | | 3/3/79 | -2405 | | 3/3/79 | -2415 | | 3/3/79 | -2425 | | 3/3/79 | -2435 | | 3/3/79 | -2445 | | 3/3/79 | -2455 | | 3/3/79 | -2465 | | 3/3/79 | -2475 | | 3/3/79 | -2485 | | 3/3/79 | -2495 | | 3/3/79 | -2505 | | 3/3/79 | -2515 | | 3/3/79 | -2525 | | 3/3/79 | -2535 | | 3/3/79 | -2545 | | 3/3/79 | -2555 | | 3/3/79 | -2565 | | 3/3/79 | -2575 | | 3/3/79 | -2585 | | 3/3/79 | -2595 | | 3/3/79 | -2605 | | 3/3/79 | -2615 | | 3/3/79 | -2625 | | 3/3/79 | -2635 | | 3/3/79 | -2645 | | 3/3/79 | -2655 | | 3/3/79 | -2665 | | 3/3/79 | -2675 | | 3/3/79 | -2685 | | 3/3/79 | -2695 | | 3/3/79 | -2705 | | 3/3/79 | -2715 | | 3/3/79 | -2725 | | 3/3/79 | -2735 | | 3/3/79 | -2745 | | 3/3/79 | -2755 | | 3/3/79 | -2765 | | 3/3/79 | -2775 | | 3/3/79 | -2785 | | 3/3/79 | -2795 | | 3/3/79 | -2805 | | 3/3/79 | -2815 | | 3/3/79 | -2825 | | 3/3/79 | -2835 | | 3/3/79 | -2845 | | 3/3/79 | -2855 | | 3/3/79 | -2865 | | 3/3/79 | -2875 | | 3/3/79 | -2885 | | 3/3/79 | -2895 | | 3/3/79 | -2905 | | 3/3/79 | -2915 | | 3/3/79 | -2925 | | 3/3/79 | -2935 | | 3/3/79 | -2945 | | 3/3/79 | -2955 | | 3/3/79 | -2965 | | 3/3/79 | -2975 | | 3/3/79 | -2985 | | 3/3/79 | -2995 | | 3/3/79 | -3005 | | 3/3/79 | -3015 | | 3/3/79 | -3025 | | 3/3/79 | -3035 | | 3/3/79 | -3045 | | 3/3/79 | -3055 | | 3/3/79 | -3065 | | 3/3/79 | -3075 | | 3/3/79 | -3085 | | 3/3/79 | -3095 | | 3/3/79 | -3105 | | 3/3/79 | -3115 | | 3/3/79 | -3125 | | 3/3/79 | -3135 | | 3/3/79 | -3145 | | 3/3/79 | -3155 | | 3/3/79 | -3165 | | 3/3/79 | -3175 | | 3/3/79 | -3185 | | 3/3/79 | -3195 | | 3/3/79 | -3205 | | 3/3/79 | -3215 | | 3/3/79 | -3225 | | 3/3/79 | -3235 | | 3/3/79 | -3245 | | 3/3/79 | -3255 | | 3/3/79 | -3265 | | 3/3/79 | -3275 | | 3/3/79 | -3285 | | 3/3/79 | -3295 | | 3/3/79 | -3305 | | 3/3/79 | -3315 | | 3/3/79 | -3325 | | 3/3/79 | -3335 | | 3/3/79 | -3345 | | 3/3/79 | -3355 | | 3/3/79 | -3365 | | 3/3/79 | -3375 | | 3/3/79 | -3385 | | 3/3/79 | -3395 | ### 机构观点与技术指标 - **多空流向**：-24.3（主力略微偏空） - **资金能量**：14.1（资金基本维持稳定） - **多空分歧**：70.9（有一定的变盘风险） - **主力资金**：快速涌入，但整体偏空 - **AI评分为-24.3**，在历史上属于较小幅度的流空 --- ## 铁矿石期货分析 ### 中线趋势判断 - 铁矿石期货主力合约运行于**722至862**的整理区间。 - 上游原材料供应充足，下游钢材需求平稳，静候行业需求复苏。 - 中线趋势继续运行于**区间整理格局**。 ### 交易策略建议 - 在区间整理阶段，建议采用**网格交易策略**。 - 网格参数：天线**862**，地线**722**，网格间距**10**，网格数量**14**。 ### 发货量（单位：万吨） | 日期 | 发货量 | |------|--------| | Jan-16 | ~85 | | Feb-16 | ~95 | | Mar-16 | ~115 | | Apr-16 | ~135 | | May-16 | ~155 | | Jun-16 | ~175 | | Jul-16 | ~195 | | Aug-16 | ~215 | | Sep-16 | ~235 | | Oct-16 | ~255 | | Nov-16 | ~275 | | Dec-16 | ~295 | | Jan-17 | ~315 | | Feb-17 | ~335 | | Mar-17 | ~355 | | Apr-17 | ~375 | | May-17 | ~395 | | Jun-17 | ~415 | | Jul-17 | ~435 | | Aug-17 | ~455 | | Sep-17 | ~475 | | Oct-17 | ~495 | | Nov-17 | ~515 | | Dec-17 | ~535 | | Jan-Mar | ~85 | | Feb-Mar | ~95 | | Mar-Mar | ~115 | | Apr-Mar | ~135 | | May-Mar | ~155 | | Jun-Mar | ~175 | | Jul-Mar | ~195 | | Aug-Mar | ~215 | | Sep-Mar | ~235 | | Oct-Mar | ~255 | | Nov-Mar | ~275 | | Dec-Mar | ~295 | | Jan-Apr | ~85 | | Feb-Apr | ~95 | | Mar-Apr | ~115 | | Apr-Apr | ~135 | | May-Apr | ~155 | | Jun-Apr | ~175 | | Jul-Apr | ~195 | | Aug-Apr | ~215 | | Sep-Apr | ~235 | | Oct-Apr | ~255 | | Nov-Apr | ~275 | | Dec-Apr | ~295 | | Jan-May | ~85 | | Feb-May | ~95 | | Mar-May | ~115 | | Apr-May | ~135 | | May-May | ~155 | | Jun-May | ~175 | | Jul-May | ~195 | | Aug-May | ~215 | | Sep-May | ~235 | | Oct-May | ~255 | | Nov-May | ~275 | | Dec-May | ~295 | | Jan-Jun | ~85 | | Feb-Jun | ~95 | | Mar-Jun | ~115 | | Apr-Jun | ~135 | | May-Jun | ~155 | | Jun-Jun | ~175 | | Jul-Jun | ~195 | | Aug-Jun | ~215 | | Sep-Jun | ~235 | | Oct-Jun | ~255 | | Nov-Jun | ~275 | | Dec-Jun | ~295 | | Jan-Jul | ~85 | | Feb-Jul | ~95 | | Mar-Jul | ~115 | | Apr-Jul | ~135 | | May-Jul | ~155 | | Jun-Jul | ~175 | | Jul-Jul | ~195 | | Aug-Jul | ~2