印度国际经济关系研究委员会-2030年印度农产品供需展望（英）-2023-72页_1mb

Summary of India's Agricultural Demand and Supply Projections towards 2030

• Demand Trends: Consumption is shifting from staples like cereals to high-value items such as fruits, vegetables, and livestock products, driven by rising income and population growth. By 2030, demand for non-cereal commodities is projected to increase significantly under various income growth scenarios.

• Supply Challenges: Historical production trends show potential supply gaps, particularly for oilseeds, pulses, and fruits. Factors like climate change and inefficient supply chains exacerbate these issues, leading to reliance on imports in some cases.

• Key Findings: India is expected to remain self-sufficient in basic foodgrains, but deficits may arise in high-value commodities. Climate change poses a threat to agricultural stability, necessitating adaptive measures.

• Policy Recommendations: Implement investments in irrigation, agricultural research, and sustainable practices; promote public-private partnerships for better value chains and market infrastructure; and enhance climate-resilient agriculture to ensure long-term food security.