战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-3,-No-6_2页_207kb
报告摘要
Central and Eastern European Update (February 17, 2006)
Core Content Summary
This summary outlines recent developments in several Central and Eastern European countries, focusing on economic, political, and military updates. It highlights key events and initiatives in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, the Baltic States, and Southeast Europe, including Croatia, Romania, and Slovenia. The document also notes upcoming elections in various countries and mentions the CSIS New European Democracies Project's role in monitoring regional trends.
Main Points by Country
Czech Republic
- Humanitarian Aid: Czech citizens donated $100,000 to the Mississippi coast affected by Hurricane Katrina, with the funds to be used for pharmaceutical needs. A similar amount will be directed to Alabama for the Tapia Public Library.
- Military Modernization: The Czech army completed the modernization of 33 T-72M tanks, upgrading them to match NATO standards. The program cost $167 million over five years, with the tanks to be decommissioned by 2025.
Hungary
- MOL's Profit Increase: MOL, a major oil and gas company, reported a 16% rise in net profit to $1.16 billion in the fourth quarter of 2005. The company plans to expand its operations in Romania, Pakistan, and Croatia.
- Industrial Growth: Hungary's industrial production increased by 7.3% in 2005, with significant growth in the electrical sector (especially telecommunications equipment), vehicle manufacturing, nonmetallic minerals, and oil refining. However, food, drink, and tobacco production declined by 4.4%.
- Agricultural Cooperation: Hungary and Russia signed an agreement allowing the supply of maize, sunflower, and soy to Russia. Hungary also prepared for a visit by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Poland
- Treasury Minister Appointment: Wojciech Jasinski, newly appointed Treasury Minister, is expected to strengthen Poland's position within the EU regarding bank mergers. He opposes accelerating privatization and emphasizes maintaining control over the energy sector.
- Foreign Investment: Japanese company NIFCO Inc. plans to establish a plastic auto parts subsidiary in Poland, aiming to boost product quality and serve as a core of its European operations. Production is set to begin in early 2007.
- Energy Infrastructure: Poland is inviting tenders for a North Sea gas pipeline, which is expected to be built within four years. Talks are also underway for an oil pipeline between Odessa-Brody and Plock.
- EU Support: Poland supports Ukraine's aspirations to join the EU and NATO, urging the Alliance to maintain an open-door policy.
Slovakia
- Internet for Education: The Ministry of Transport will launch a project subsidizing 40,000 new Internet users, targeting individuals aged 15–25. The program is funded with $7.5 million and will run over two years.
- Diplomatic Expansion: Slovakia will open new diplomatic missions in Kosovo, Luxembourg, Lithuania, Estonia, and Ethiopia. Meanwhile, Israel, Palestine, and Canada are considering opening embassies in Bratislava.
Baltic States
Estonia
- Military Deployment: Three Estonian officers are set to join British troops in southern Afghanistan as part of the ISAF mission. Estonia has been involved in Afghanistan since 2003.
- Historical Memorial: Estonian MEP Tunne Kelam proposed a memorial plaque in Strasbourg to commemorate the 1941 Soviet deportations from the Baltic States.
Lithuania
- EU Exclusion List: Lithuanian parliament member Emanuelis Zingeris is pushing to exclude Belarusian officials linked to Alexander Lukashenko from EU engagement. The Council of Europe supported expanding the list and simplifying visa procedures for Belarusians.
Latvia
- Energy Cooperation: Latvian parliamentary speaker Ingrida Udre met with Ukrainian Prime Minister Yuriy Yekhnunov to discuss energy sector collaboration and shared Latvia's experience in EU and NATO accession.
Southeast Europe
Bulgaria
- Unemployment Decline: Bulgaria recorded its lowest unemployment rate in nine years, at 11.46%, attributed to macroeconomic stability. However, it remains higher than the EU average of 8.7%.
- Bird Flu Ban: Due to the outbreak of H5N1 bird flu in Vidin, the EU banned all poultry and bird product imports from Bulgaria, despite the virus only affecting wild birds.
Croatia
- NATO Membership Prospects: Croatia and Slovenia's border dispute is expected to be resolved by the International Court of Justice. Croatia expressed willingness to accept the court's decision.
- Economic Cooperation: Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina plan to organize a conference to promote economic collaboration. Croatia also supported Bosnia's efforts to negotiate with the EU on the Stabilization and Association Agreement.
Romania
- EU Enlargement: Prime Minister Calin Popescu-Tariceanu praised Romania and Bulgaria's cooperation in EU accession and agreed to start construction of the second Danube bridge (Vidin-Calafat) by summer 2006.
- Business Deal: Mittal Steel Galati signed a $400 million contract with Siemens Austria for telecommunications solutions, to be implemented by March 2006.
Slovenia
- Euro Adoption Readiness: EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia stated that Slovenia is the only new EU member state fully prepared for euro adoption. The EU Commission will release a report in October on the readiness of new members.
- Military Deployment: Slovenia sent 49 soldiers to Afghanistan, with 47 stationed in Herat and 2 in Kabul, as part of the ISAF mission.
- Interfaith Dialogue: Slovenian Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel met with the head of the Islamic Community in Slovenia to strengthen cooperation and prepare for a conference on Christian-Muslim dialogue.
Upcoming Elections
| Country | Election Type | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Belarus | Presidential Elections | March 19 |
| Ukraine | Parliamentary Elections | March 26 |
| Hungary | Parliamentary Elections | April 9 (1st round), April 23 (2nd round) |
| Czech Republic | Parliamentary Elections | June |
| Slovakia | Parliamentary Elections | June 17 |
| Macedonia | Parliamentary Elections | September |
| Estonia | Parliamentary Elections | September |
| Latvia | Parliamentary Elections | October |
| Bulgaria | Presidential Elections | November |
| Kosovo | Final Status Talks | Ongoing |
| Montenegro | Independence Referendum | April |
Key Organizations and Initiatives
- CSIS New European Democracies Project: Monitors developments in Central, Eastern, and Southeast Europe, focusing on new EU members and candidate countries.
- EU Enlargement: The project highlights the progress and challenges of countries seeking EU membership or already part of the bloc.
- International Cooperation: Emphasis on NATO, EU, and regional collaboration, especially in energy, defense, and economic sectors.
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