2021-05-31-国际可持续发展研究所-Using_Climate_Economic_Modelling_for_Sustainable_Economic_Delelopment_37页_3mb

Summary of "Using Climate Economic Modelling for Sustainable Economic Development: A Practitioner's Guide"

Core Content

This guide provides a framework for integrating climate economic modelling into sustainable economic development processes, emphasizing the importance of climate resilience and policy coherence. It was developed by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) within the IKI Global Programme on Policy Advice for Climate Resilient Economic Development (CRED), implemented by GIZ on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU).

The guide highlights that climate change is not just an environmental issue but also a socio-economic challenge, affecting employment, wealth, and living conditions, especially for vulnerable groups. It argues that climate adaptation and economic development can mutually reinforce each other if integrated properly.

Main Points

1. Climate Economic Modelling

• A quantitative tool used to assess the economic impacts of climate change and climate adaptation.
• Helps answer three key questions:
  1. What are the economic impacts of climate change?
  2. What are the impacts of adaptation measures on the economy?
  3. What is the right set of economic instruments to support climate-resilient development?
• The results can support policy-making, stakeholder engagement, and advocacy.

2. Climate-Resilient Economic Development

• Aims to integrate climate risks and adaptation measures into economic development planning.
• It is related to green growth, which seeks to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
• Requires a systemic and integrated approach, combining mitigation and adaptation actions and engaging diverse actors.

3. Policy Mainstreaming

• Climate adaptation mainstreaming is the process of integrating climate considerations into standard development practices.
• It can be at different levels, from mentioning adaptation in strategic documents to institutional coordination and financial mobilization.
• It is essential to reduce vulnerability, support sustainable development, and create resilience.

4. Entry Points and Enabling Factors

• The guide outlines nine indicative entry points for integrating climate economic modelling into the economic development policy cycle:
  • Planning
  • Budgeting and financing
  • Implementation
  • Monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL)
• It also identifies eight enabling factors that support the effective use of climate economic modelling:
  • Leadership
  • Capacities
  • Information and communications
  • Institutional arrangements
  • Stakeholder engagement and partnership
  • Awareness and motivations
  • Digital technologies
  • Financial resources

Key Information

• Climate economic modelling is a critical tool for policy-makers to understand the costs, benefits, and trade-offs of climate change and its adaptation.
• The guide is intended for mid-level technical officers, economic advisers, local government planners, and development partners.
• It draws on IISD and NAP Global Network experiences in climate adaptation planning and mainstreaming.
• The CRED programme focuses on three pilot countries: Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Vietnam.
• The guide will be applied in these countries, with additional country-specific documents to follow.

Structure and Objectives

• Objective: To support climate-resilient economic development by integrating climate economic modelling into development processes.
• Structure:
  • Executive Summary
  • Acronyms
  • I. Introduction
  • II. Background
    • Key terms and concepts
    • Rationale for climate-resilient economic development
  • III. Framework for integrating climate economic modelling
    • Entry points
    • Enabling factors
  • IV. Guidance on utilizing entry points
    • Planning
    • Budgeting and financing
    • Implementation
    • Monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL)
  • V. Guidance on utilizing enabling factors
    • Leadership
    • Capacities
    • Information and communications
    • Institutional arrangements
    • Stakeholder engagement and partnership
    • Awareness and motivations
    • Digital technologies
    • Financial resources
  • VI. Conclusion and Outlook

Conclusion

• The guide emphasizes the need for integration between economic development and climate adaptation.
• It provides practical guidance on how to utilize climate economic modelling in various stages of the policy cycle.
• The CRED programme aims to develop methods and tools for modelling climate impacts and adaptation, with the goal of supporting sustainable development.

Key Terms

Term	Definition
Economic Development Policy Cycle	A process that includes planning, budgeting, implementation, and MEL.
Sustainable Economic Development	Economic growth that is socially and environmentally sustainable.
Climate-Resilient Economic Development	Economic development that integrates climate risks and adaptation.
Climate Resilience	The ability of a system to anticipate, absorb, and reorganize in response to climate risks.
Climate Adaptation Mainstreaming	Integrating climate adaptation into standard development practices.
Climate Economic Modelling	A tool to assess the economic impacts of climate change and adaptation.

Outlook

• The guide is part of a global effort to understand and address the economic development-climate nexus.
• It is expected to support policy coherence, enhance effectiveness, and reduce financial risks.
• Further country-specific documents will be developed to provide tailored recommendations.