2021-09-28-兴业投资-美元收复部分失地_黄金回调低位拉锯_2页_143kb

Fundamental Analysis

US bond yields rising pulled the dollar index back above 93.00, reversing earlier losses amid ongoing supply chain and labor shortages. Fed Chair Powell did not mention policy directly, but other officials like those from Cleveland and Kansas City reiterated hawkish views, supporting potential accelerated tapering. Market expectations suggest further dollar strength if tightening announcements materialize, though constraints near current highs limit upside; USD is likely to remain range-bound above 93.00.

EUR/USD faces resistance near 1.1755 as it corrects from recent highs; GBP/USD remains bearish due to underlying weakness; USD/JPY surged near 110.80, testing monthly highs, potentially facing correction. Commodities like AUD and CAD retreated, but CAD held steady with oil gains. Gold and Silver showed bullish signs near $1740 and $22.00 respectively.

Technical Analysis - EUR/USD

• Overview: Trading below the 10-day moving average, indicating a downtrend; consolidating losses from higher levels.
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 1.1700, 1.1680, 1.1660
  • Resistance: 1.1730, 1.1755, 1.1785
• Short-term: Positioned to break the 1.1730-1.1700 narrow range for directional moves retesting the broader 1.1755-1.1680 interval.

Technical Analysis - GBP/USD

• Overview: Continues bearish momentum, pressured by downward 10-day and longer-term trends; acting in a 'drumline' pattern.
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 1.3660, 1.3640, 1.3610
  • Resistance: 1.3700, 1.3750, 1.3790
• Short-term: Facing tests below 1.3700 for further declines; hours suggest lack of strong rebounds.

Technical Analysis - USD/JPY

• Overview: Challenging upward momentum, testing August highs after breaking 110.00; potential slight pullback indicated by diverging indicators such as the RSI entering overbought territory for correction.
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 110.55, 110.30, 110.00
• Resistance: 110.75, 111.00, 111.20
• Minutes: Short-term trades may consider immediate resistance above 110.75 for short entries if sustaining, with risk targets near 110.55 should price falter.

Technical Analysis - Gold

• Overview: Holding near $1740 with bullish signals from double-bottom formation; poised for upward movement despite trading flat initially.
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 1753, 1745, 1737
  • Resistance: 1766, 1776, 1787
• Short-term: Planned long entries above 1753 targeting 1766; health of the bounce depends on cross-supports holding.

Technical Analysis - Silver

• Overview: Maintained stability above $22.00, presenting an ongoing up-trend reversal preference; experienced a dip below 22.10 but with swift defense.
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 22.50, 22.20, 22.00
• Resistance: 22.85, 23.05, 23.30
• Short-term: Execution points above 22.50 aiming for 22.85, contingent on maintaining multi-timeframe signals against potential pullback.