2023-01-19-科尔尼-divergent_prospects_and_new_imperatives_in_the_global_recovery_36页_2mb

2021 Global Cities Report Summary

Report Overview

• Key Finding: Global cities, despite being severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, demonstrated remarkable resilience. They led the recovery while facing divergent prospects due to uneven vaccine distribution and economic disparities.
• Trend: The pandemic accelerated digital transformation, challenged global supply chains, and created new imperatives for urban resilience and well-being.

Global Cities Index (GCI) Highlights

• Top 5 Cities:
  • 1. New York, 2. London, 3. Paris, 4. Tokyo, 5. Los Angeles.
• Changes:
  • Beijing and Hong Kong dropped due to pandemic impacts.
  • Los Angeles surged into the top 5 (+2 positions).
• Observations:
  • Highly connected cities (e.g., Tokyo) were more vulnerable to the pandemic’s early stages but recovered faster.
  • Less connected cities (e.g., Addis Ababa) showed stronger rankings due to delayed pandemic effects.

Global Cities Outlook (GCO) Highlights

• Top 5 Cities:
  • 1. London, 2. Paris, 3. Munich, 4. Abu Dhabi, 5. Dublin.
• Changes:
  • Amsterdam’s ranking dropped significantly due to declines in personal well-being metrics.
  • Asia-Pacific cities (e.g., Shenzhen, Beijing) showed faster recovery compared to North American cities.

Key Challenges

1. Economic Recovery:
   • Global GDP contraction (≈3.5%) and high unemployment rates highlighted economic fragility.
   • Uneven digital infrastructure posed challenges for less connected cities.
2. Healthcare:
   • Pandemic strain overwhelmed healthcare systems; mental health became a critical concern.
3. Climate Change:
   • Cities face dual threats: reducing emissions and adapting to extreme weather.
4. Inequality and Migration:
   • Anti-immigrant sentiment and visa restrictions limited talent flows, particularly in tourism-dependent cities.

Five Strategic Imperatives

1. Winning the Talent Competition:
   • Attract global talent through visa-friendly policies, high-quality living conditions, and integration programs.
2. Embracing the Digital Economy:
   • Invest in digital infrastructure, digital skills training, and data partnerships to drive growth.
3. Ensuring Economic Resilience:
   • Balance global trade with local production to mitigate supply chain risks.
4. Adapting to Climate Change:
   • Innovate in renewable energy, build climate-resilient infrastructure (e.g., Rotterdam’s sponge cities).
5. Investing in Well-being:
   • Enhance healthcare access, green spaces, community hubs, and cultural programs to improve quality of life.

Regional Trends

• China: Rapid urbanization and innovative pandemic responses (e.g., field hospitals, digital healthcare) boosted its cities' rankings.
• Europe: Stronger healthcare systems in countries like China allowed for faster recovery, while some EU cities (e.g., Amsterdam) lagged due to policy missteps.
• North America: Slower recovery linked to vaccine rollout delays and policy fragmentation.

Takeaways

• Global cities must balance globalization with localization, resilience, and equitable growth to navigate future crises.
• Digitalization and climate adaptation are critical for long-term survival and competitiveness.
• Policy focus should center on human-centric recovery, integrating economic, social, and environmental goals.