2015-04-06-皮尤-A_Deep_Dive_Into_Party_Affiliation_15页_436kb
报告摘要
- Democrats hold a steady lead in overall party identification, with a 48-39% edge in leaned affiliation since 2009.
- Key demographic divides include:
- Whites lean Republican (GOP leads by 49-40%), while blacks, Asians, Hispanics, and Millennials lean Democratic (Democrats lead by 80-11%, 65-23%, 56-26%, and 51-35%, respectively).
- Women lean Democratic by 16 points (52-36%), men are split (44-43%).
- Education: Highly educated lean Democratic more (56-36% for post-graduates), while less educated show smaller gaps.
- Age: Millennials are the most Democratic generation (51% lean Democrat), Silent Generation the most Republican (47-43% GOP lead).
- Religion: White evangelicals lean Republican strongly (68-22%), while religiously unaffiliated, Jews, and other groups lean Democratic broadly.
- Independents have risen to an all-time high at 39% in 2014, with little change in the overall leaned party gap but a trend toward more people identifying as unaffiliated, especially over the past decade.
- Time trends show Democrats' advantage lasting over two decades, while independent numbers surged since 2004, impacting electoral dynamics.
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