2021-06-11-兴业投资-通胀飙升未有效提振_美元市场演绎过山车行情_2页_152kb

Market Analysis Summary

Fundamental Highlights

• Inflation and Economic Data: Elevated inflation pressures, with US May CPI rising 5.0% (annual rate), exceeding expectations and setting a 12-year high. Core CPI at 3.8% also surged. The ECB maintains interest rates but signals potential rate hikes later in the year, while the Fed remains relatively hawkish on inflation being temporary. Markets show divergence, with currencies and commodities fluctuating due to uncertain policy directions.
• Key Events: ECB'sstance shifts to slightly more balanced outlook, raising GDP forecasts. US jobs data showed improvement but market focus remains on inflation risks ahead of Fed decisions.

Technical Overview by Asset

• EUR/USD: Repeated range-bound movement around 1.2100-1.2250. Short-term charts indicate potential downside, with key support at 1.2150 and resistance near 1.2200.
• GBP/USD: Rebuffed by resistance at 1.4180; trading in a tight range, with support near 1.4000 and cautious long positions suggested below 1.4180.
• USD/JPY: Volatility near 109.70; failed to sustain above 109.80, with support at 109.30 allowing rebounds.
• Gold: Strong short-term bounce from around 1869.65, contingent on breaching 1900; supports below 1883 sustain gains, with resistances at 1916.
• Silver: Bullish momentum continues; held above 28.00, with potential for further gains if maintains key levels.

Market Outlook

• Persisting uncertainty around policy shifts from major central banks keeps the market in a震荡 phase, with no clear breakout expected due to event-driven volatility.

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Note: The promotion is excluded as per the focus on analysis only.