2006-09-13-皮尤-Democrats_Hold_Solid_Lead_Strong_Anti-Incumbent,_Anti-Bush_Mood_49页_199kb

Democratic Lead in Elections: Despite increased focus on terrorism, Democrats hold a strong lead with 52% favorability in the congressional generic ballot compared to 40% for Republicans. Anti-incumbent sentiment and disapproval of President Bush are high, with most voters seeing the election as a vote against the current administration (36%).

Election Sentiment and Issues: Voters are frustrated with government and Congress, with anti-Republican attitudes strong across most issues. The ongoing wars and terrorism are top concerns, but terrorism's impact on Republican support is limited. Public skepticism about U.S. progress in the war on terrorism has increased, with only 39% believing the U.S. is winning.

Iraq and Terrorism: Iraq is the most pressing problem for 25% of Americans, with divisions on strategy. Terrorism focus rose, but Republican advantages narrowed. Ideological divisions within parties influence voting preferences, with moderate and liberal Republicans showing less support for GOP candidates.

Voter and Demographic Shifts: Women show wider Democratic favorability, and moderate Republicans are less driven by party loyalty. Turnout enthusiasm is higher for Democrats, and GOP approval has declined amidst economic and security concerns. Independent voters increasingly view party control as a factor in elections, but with divided loyalties across issues.

Key Public Opinions: Republicans are perceived as having stronger leaders (43% vs. 30% for Democrats), but this gap is shrinking. Terrorism concerns did not significantly boost Republicans, while Democrats gained support from traditionally Republican groups like affluent Americans and college graduates. Public opinions on issues like energy prices, education, and health care have shifted over time.