> **来源:[研报客](https://pc.yanbaoke.cn)** # Capital Goods # Strong sales momentum continued for truck cranes & crawler cranes in Dec 2025 China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released the full set of construction machinery sales data for Dec 2025. Strong growth momentum of domestic sales of truck cranes and crawler cranes continued in Dec (+39%/+96% YoY), which we believe were driven by wind power installation and other energy projects. Exports in Dec were strong across different types of machineries (except tower cranes). We expect the upcycle of non-earth-moving machinery demand to extend to 2026, which will continue to serve as a sector catalyst. Our key pick is Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), followed by Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY) and SANY Heavy (6031 HK / 600031 CH, BUY). Meanwhile, we remain cautious on Zhejiang Dingli (603338 CH, HOLD) due to sluggish (though improving) AWP industry sales volume (-8% YoY in Dec). # Highlights on non-earth-moving machinery in Dec 2025: ■ Truck crane: $+38\%$ YoY. Domestic sales grew $39\%$ YoY in Dec, vs $+26\%$ YoY in Nov and $+42\%$ YoY in Oct. Exports grew $37\%$ YoY in Dec, significantly accelerating from $+8.5\%$ in Nov and $-4.5\%$ in Oct. For the full year in 2025, both domestic sales and exports grew $1.4\%$ YoY. Crawler crane: +68% YoY. Domestic sales surged 96% YoY in Dec (slightly decelerated from +102% in Nov), representing YoY growth for seven consecutive months. Exports grew 57% YoY in Dec, slightly accelerating from 53% YoY in Nov. For the full year in 2025, domestic sales/ exports grew 33% / 29% YoY. ■ Forklift: unchanged YoY. Domestic sales dropped $5\%$ YoY in Dec, significantly slowing from $+24\%$ YoY in Nov. Exports remained resilient, growing $8\%$ in Dec (accelerated from $1\%$ YoY in Nov). For the full year in 2025, both domestic sales and export grew $13\%$ YoY. Tower crane: -31% YoY. Dragged by weak property investment, domestic sales declined 46% YoY in Dec (improved from -49% YoY in Nov but deteriorated from -17% in Oct). Exports dropped 10% YoY in Dec, worsening from the positive growth trend (YoY) between Jul and Nov. For the full year in 2025, domestic sales declined 50% YoY while exports grew 20% YoY. Major construction machinery sales in Dec 2025 <table><tr><td rowspan="2"></td><td colspan="3">Sales volume (units)</td><td colspan="3">Change (YoY)</td></tr><tr><td>Total</td><td>China</td><td>Export</td><td>Total</td><td>China</td><td>Export</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7">Earth-moving</td></tr><tr><td>Excavator</td><td>23,095</td><td>10,331</td><td>12,764</td><td>19%</td><td>11%</td><td>27%</td></tr><tr><td>Wheel loader</td><td>12,236</td><td>5,291</td><td>6,945</td><td>30%</td><td>18%</td><td>41%</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7">Others</td></tr><tr><td>Truck crane</td><td>1,911</td><td>886</td><td>1,025</td><td>38%</td><td>39%</td><td>37%</td></tr><tr><td>Crawler crane</td><td>385</td><td>131</td><td>254</td><td>68%</td><td>96%</td><td>57%</td></tr><tr><td>Tower crane</td><td>395</td><td>182</td><td>213</td><td>-31%</td><td>-46%</td><td>-10%</td></tr><tr><td>Forklift</td><td>111,363</td><td>63,807</td><td>47,556</td><td>0%</td><td>-5%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>Aerial work platform</td><td>14,326</td><td>4,446</td><td>9,880</td><td>-8%</td><td>-25%</td><td>2%</td></tr></table> Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Downstream applications of construction machinery in China <table><tr><td>Type of machinery</td><td>Infrastructure</td><td>Property</td><td>Mining</td><td>Manufacturing</td></tr><tr><td>Excavator</td><td>High</td><td>Medium</td><td>Low</td><td>Low</td></tr><tr><td>Wheel loader</td><td>Medium</td><td>Low</td><td>High</td><td>Low</td></tr><tr><td>Truck crane</td><td>High</td><td>Low</td><td>n/a</td><td>Low</td></tr><tr><td>Tower crane</td><td>n/a</td><td>High</td><td>n/a</td><td>n/a</td></tr><tr><td>Concrete machinery</td><td>Medium</td><td>High</td><td>n/a</td><td>Low</td></tr><tr><td>Coal mining equipment</td><td>n/a</td><td>n/a</td><td>High</td><td>n/a</td></tr><tr><td>Mining transport truck</td><td>n/a</td><td>n/a</td><td>High</td><td>n/a</td></tr><tr><td>Aerial work platform</td><td>Medium</td><td>Low</td><td>na</td><td>High</td></tr></table> Source: CMBIGM # OUTPERFORM (Maintain) # China Capital Goods Sector Wayne FUNG, CFA (852) 3900 0826 waynefung@cmbi.com.hk Related reports: Zoomlion - Expect accelerated sales growth in Nov - 5 Dec 2025 (link) Capital Goods - Key themes in 2026; Focus on Mining equipment + Power for data centres + Replacement cycle -1 Dec 2025 (link) Zoomlion - Full range of products to expand globally - 1 Dec 2025 (link) SANY Heavy - Clear target on mining excavator growth - 1 Dec 2025 (link) Weichai Power – Expect HDT engines growth to slow in 2026E; Eyes on backup power for data centres – 1 Dec 2025 (link) Figure 1: Monthly excavator sales in China Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 2: Monthly excavator export volume Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 3: Komatsu excavator monthly utilisation hours in Indonesia Source: Komatsu, CMBIGM Figure 4: Komatsu excavator monthly utilisation hours in North America Source: Komatsu, CMBIGM Figure 5: CMBI excavator sales projection (breakdown by region) Source: Komatsu, CMBIG estimates Figure 6: CMBI excavator sales projection Source: CCMA, CMBIGM estimates Figure 7: Monthly wheel loader sales in China Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 8: Monthly wheel loader export volume Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 9: Electric wheel loader sales as a percentage of total wheel loader sales Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 10: CMBI wheel loader sales projection Source: CCMA, CMBIGM estimates Figure 11: Tower crane monthly sales in China Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 12: Tower crane monthly export volume Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 13: Truck crane monthly sales in China Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 14: Truck crane monthly export volume Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 15: Crawler crane monthly sales in China Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 16: Crawler crane monthly export volume Source: CCMA, CMBIGM Figure 17: CMBI truck crane sales projection Source: CCMA, CMBIGM estimates Figure 18: CMBI tower crane sales projection Source: CCMA, CMBIGM estimates # Disclosures & Disclaimers # Analyst Certification The research analyst who is primary responsible for the content of this research report, in whole or in part, certifies that with respect to the securities or issuer that the analyst covered in this report: (1) all of the views expressed accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject securities or issuer; and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific views expressed by that analyst in this report. Besides, the analyst confirms that neither the analyst nor his/her associates (as defined in the code of conduct issued by The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission) (1) have dealt in or traded in the stock(s) covered in this research report within 30 calendar days prior to the date of issue of this report; (2) will deal in or trade in the stock(s) covered in this research report 3 business days after the date of issue of this report; (3) serve as an officer of any of the Hong Kong listed companies covered in this report; and (4) have any financial interests in the Hong Kong listed companies covered in this report. # CMBIG Ratings BUY : Stock with potential return of over $15\%$ over next 12 months HOLD : Stock with potential return of +15% to -10% over next 12 months SELL : Stock with potential loss of over $10\%$ over next 12 months NOT RATED : Stock is not rated by CMBIGM OUTPERFORM : Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months MARKET-PERFORM · Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months UNDERPERFORM : Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months # CMB International Global Markets Limited Address: 45/F, Champion Tower, 3 Garden Road, Hong Kong, Tel: (852) 3900 0888 Fax: (852) 3900 0800 CMB International Global Markets Limited ("CMBIGM") is a wholly owned subsidiary of CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (a wholly owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank) # Important Disclosures There are risks involved in transacting in any securities. The information contained in this report may not be suitable for the purposes of all investors. CMBIGM does not provide individually tailored investment advice. This report has been prepared without regard to the individual investment objectives, financial position or special requirements. Past performance has no indication of future performance, and actual events may differ materially from that which is contained in the report. The value of, and returns from, any investments are uncertain and are not guaranteed and may fluctuate as a result of their dependence on the performance of underlying assets or other variable market factors. CMBIGM recommends that investors should independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to consult with a professional financial advisor in order to make their own investment decisions. This report or any information contained herein, have been prepared by the CMBIGM, solely for the purpose of supplying information to the clients of CMBIGM or its affiliate(s) to whom it is distributed. This report is not and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security or any interest in securities or enter into any transaction. Neither CMBIGM nor any of its affiliates, shareholders, agents, consultants, directors, officers or employees shall be liable for any loss, damage or expense whatsoever, whether direct or consequential, incurred in relying on the information contained in this report. Anyone making use of the information contained in this report does so entirely at their own risk. The information and contents contained in this report are based on the analyses and interpretations of information believed to be publicly available and reliable. CMBIGM has exerted every effort in its capacity to ensure, but not to guarantee, their accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness. CMBIGM provides the information, advices and forecasts on an "AS IS" basis. The information and contents are subject to change without notice. CMBIGM may issue other publications having information and/ or conclusions different from this report. These publications reflect different assumptions, point-of-view and analytical methods when compiling. CMBIGM may make investment decisions or take proprietary positions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views in this report. CMBIGM may have a position, make markets or act as principal or engage in transactions in securities of companies referred to in this report for itself and/or on behalf of its clients from time to time. Investors should assume that CMBIGM does or seeks to have investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report. As a result, recipients should be aware that CMBIGM may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report and CMBIGM will not assume any responsibility in respect thereof. This report is for the use of intended recipients only and this publication, may not be reproduced, reprinted, sold, redistributed or published in whole or in part for any purpose without prior written consent of CMBIGM. Additional information on recommended securities is available upon request. # For recipients of this document in the United Kingdom This report has been provided only to persons (I)falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (as amended from time to time)(The Order") or (II) are persons falling within Article 49(2) (a) to (d) ("High Net Worth Companies, Unincorporated Associations, etc.) of the Order, and may not be provided to any other person without the prior written consent of CMBIGM. # For recipients of this document in the United States CMBIGM is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States. As a result, CMBIGM is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. The research analyst who is primary responsible for the content of this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority ("FINRA"). The analyst is not subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules intended to ensure that the analyst is not affected by potential conflicts of interest that could bear upon the reliability of the research report. This report is intended for distribution in the United States solely to "major US institutional investors", as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and may not be furnished to any other person in the United States. Each major US institutional investor that receives a copy of this report by its acceptance hereof represents and agrees that it shall not distribute or provide this report to any other person. Any U.S. recipient of this report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities based on the information provided in this report should do so only through a U.S.-registered broker-dealer. # For recipients of this document in Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by CMBI (Singapore) Pte. Limited (CMBISG) (Company Regn. No. 201731928D), an Exempt Financial Adviser as defined in the Financial Advisers Act (Cap. 110) of Singapore and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. CMBISG may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, as defined in the Securities and Futures Act (Cap. 289) of Singapore, CMBISG accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact CMBISG at +65 6350 4400 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.