联合国西亚经济社会委员会-衡量经济韧性(英)-2025_44页_3mb
报告摘要
Economic Resilience Measurement Summary
Definition: Economic resilience refers to an economy's ability to minimize losses from shocks and promote rapid recovery, incorporating elements such as instantaneous resilience (limiting immediate damage) and dynamic resilience (reconstructing and adapting to new growth opportunities).
Framework: Composed of two primary components—vulnerabilities (including international trade, financial flows, and strategic imports) and coping capacities (encompassing social, economic, fiscal, and institutional aspects). This framework is visualized in the Economic Resilience Index, which weights indicators across regions and income levels.
Methodology: Based on data from sources like the World Bank, UNCTAD, and HDRO, the Economic Resilience Index (ERI) is calculated using weighted indicators for vulnerabilities and coping capacities. Correlation analyses show relationships with GDP per capita and vulnerabilities-capacities indices.
Key Findings: High ERI scores are found in countries such as Switzerland, Canada, and Germany, while low scores characterize economies in Sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Burundi, Yemen). Resilience positively correlates with GDP per capita, and vulnerabilities often outweigh coping capacities in fragile states.
Conclusion: Strengthening economic resilience is essential for sustainable development, shock mitigation, and inclusive growth, as highlighted in the report's emphasis on policy interventions.
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