2025-03-17-莱坊-North_Shore_Office_Market_March_2025_9页_1mb
报告摘要
North Shore Office Market Analysis Summary
Key Observations
- There is a clear structural shift towards high-quality office spaces and amenities, with a divergence in demand favoring premium assets.
- Occupier demand and deal flow improved in 2024, marked by positive net absorption in certain markets, driven by prime-grade transactions.
- Vacancy rates are decreasing in North Sydney and Chatswood, while St Leonards continues to experience high vacancy.
- Rent growth occurred, but incentives are rising, offsetting net effective rents in some areas and indicating potential stabilization.
- Future developments, such as Lendlease's Victoria Cross OSD, could impact supply and further influence market dynamics by 2025.
Detailed Summary
North Sydney Market
- Overall vacancy declined to 17.8%, with prime-grade vacancy tightening to 2.3%.
- Prime net face rents increased by 3.8% to $928/sqm (gross $1,093/sqm), while incentives rose to 38-40%, stabilizing net effective rents.
- Deal flow improved, with occupiers preferring premium assets with good connectivity, like those near the Sydney Metro station.
- Total office stock remains stable at 941,214 sqm, with a focus on high-quality buildings.
St Leonards Market
- Vacancy rose to 30.65%, the highest on record, due to subdued occupier demand.
- Prime-grade vacancy increased slightly to 26.1%, while secondary-grade vacancy peaked at 33.2%.
- Net absorption was negative, highlighting weak demand partly due to competition from other North Shore areas and the CBD.
- The Crows Nest Metro station may enhance appeal, potentially boosting secondary asset demand in the future.
Chatswood Market
- Vacancy dropped to 17.7%, the lowest among North Shore markets, with prime-grade vacancy at 23.9%.
- Prime net face rents increased by 1.7% to $642/sqm, while secondary grades saw higher vacancy.
- No major new developments are scheduled, supporting market recovery.
Macquarie Park Market
- Vacancy fell to 18.9%, making it the largest office market in NSW, with prime space constituting 71% of total stock.
- Prime net face rents rose by 2.2% to $470/sqm, but incentives increased, reducing net effective rents by 1.0%.
- Multiple tenant deals and refurbishments, like the completion of 73 Talavera Road, contributed to positive absorption.
Future Outlook
- Yields have stabilized, with prime yields ranging from 6.9% in North Sydney to higher rates in other areas.
- Expected investment volumes will increase in 2025 with first-rate cuts and realigned vendor-purchaser expectations.
- New supply from projects like Victoria Cross OSD and Affinity Place could add capacity by 2029, allowing time for current stock absorption.
- The healthcare and education hub focus enhances institutional investment opportunities.
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