2016年-世界发展银行全球_Utility_Scale_DSM_Opportunities_and_Business_Models_in_India_63页_5mb
报告摘要
Summary of "Utility Scale DSM Opportunities and Business Models in India"
Core Content
This report explores the opportunities and business models for Utility Scale Demand Side Management (DSM) in India, focusing on the role of DSM in addressing energy challenges, enhancing utility financial health, and supporting climate change mitigation goals.
Main Points
1. Promise of DSM in India
- DSM is defined as actions taken by distribution utilities beyond the customer's meter to alter electricity usage patterns for the benefit of the overall power system.
- It includes energy efficiency measures and is considered a strategic tool for managing electricity demand, reducing costs, and improving sustainability.
2. DSM Success in India
- EESL's UJALA initiative has been a landmark DSM program, selling over 100 million LED lamps and delivering 35 million kWh of energy savings daily.
- This translates to INR 14 crore in daily cost savings and 2667 MW of avoided generation capacity.
- DSM market potential has increased significantly, from INR 44,000 crores in 2010 to INR 1.6 lakh crores by considering end-use energy efficiency opportunities alone.
3. Top DSM Markets
- Residential end-use appliances, agriculture/irrigation pumping, and municipal infrastructure are the top three DSM markets.
- These sectors offer substantial energy savings and environmental benefits.
4. DSM and Climate Change
- DSM is a key strategy for India to meet its low carbon development commitments, including:
- Reducing the emissions intensity of GDP by 33-35% by 2030
- Achieving 40% cumulative non-fossil fuel-based power capacity by 2030
- The UN Paris Agreement and INDC commitments underline the importance of DSM in the global fight against climate change.
5. DSM and Energy Security
- DSM helps manage electricity deficits and rising supply costs.
- It reduces the need for new generation capacity and avoids the environmental degradation associated with fossil fuel use.
6. DSM and Financial Health
- DSM contributes to the financial recovery of DISCOMs by reducing the revenue gap between the average cost of supply and revenue realization.
- A 10% reduction in subsidized energy consumption through DSM can reduce the revenue gap by INR 73,000 crores annually.
7. Policy and Regulatory Framework
- DSM is not yet given the same recognition and support as renewable energy in the legal and policy framework.
- The Electricity Act 2003 and other related policies lack specific provisions for DSM.
- There is a need to:
- Explicitly recognize demand side resources as an alternative resource option.
- Integrate DSM into the policy framework to allow it to compete with supply-side options based on equity, reliability, and cost-effectiveness.
8. Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)
- IRP is crucial for incorporating DSM into the energy resource mix.
- It helps optimize power resource costs and reduce consumer tariffs by avoiding costly power purchases.
9. Reforms and DSM Integration
- DSM must be mainstreamed into electricity and climate change reforms.
- Clear DSM performance milestones should be set under the UDAY scheme, with robust EM&V mechanisms.
- The incentive mechanism under UDAY needs review to better support DSM activities.
10. DSM Delivery Models
- Several delivery models have gained stakeholder confidence:
- Demand aggregation and bulk procurement
- On-bill financing
- Standard rebate and standard offer
- No single model is optimal; each must be evaluated based on utility/state priorities, DSM goals, technology, customer participation, cost effectiveness, and local challenges.
11. Agriculture DSM
- Agricultural demand side management (Ag DSM) is a significant opportunity.
- Challenges include implementation difficulties and market realities, but EESL's new Ag DSM program offers a promising solution.
- Integrated solutions that consider both water and energy side interventions are recommended for maximizing resource savings in agriculture-intensive states.
12. Market Development and Future Outlook
- DSM has the potential to reduce energy consumption by 178 billion units annually, which is 18-20% of all India's annual electricity consumption.
- It also offers 150 million tons of annual CO₂ emissions reduction potential.
- Demand response, solar PV rooftop systems, and smart grid technologies are emerging areas with significant potential.
Key Information
- UJALA initiative by EESL is a prime example of successful DSM in India.
- The DSM market potential has grown from INR 44,000 crores (2010) to INR 1.6 lakh crores.
- DSM can reduce energy costs, improve fiscal health, and support climate change mitigation.
- Policy reform is essential to unlock the full potential of DSM in India.
- Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) is a key enabler for DSM adoption and implementation.
- Agriculture DSM is a critical area with significant potential but requires better program design and execution.
Conclusion
DSM presents a transformative opportunity for India to enhance energy efficiency, reduce costs, and support sustainable development. The report emphasizes the need for policy reforms, regulatory improvements, and market-driven delivery models to fully realize the potential of DSM in the Indian power sector.
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