世界银行-气候变化减缓了城市升级进程吗？：来自智利、哥伦比亚和印度尼西亚的证据（英）-2023.3-28页_503kb

Summary

• Research Question: Examines if climate change hinders the poverty-reducing effects of urban agglomeration in Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia.

• Key Findings:

  • Urban areas with larger populations support higher upward mobility out of poverty.
  • Climatic risks, such as extreme rainfall and flooding, offset these benefits by damaging assets, reducing productivity, and increasing vulnerability.
  • In Chile and Colombia, upward mobility is positively linked to city size but significantly reduced in high flood-risk zones.
  • In Indonesia, moving to metro cores increases poverty escape chances, but high flood risk or heavy rainfall decreases this likelihood.

• Implications: Climate adaptation measures, like reducing flood risks and upgrading urban infrastructure, are crucial to leverage urban agglomeration for poverty reduction. Policy interventions must address urban poor resilience to environmental shocks.