2002-11-02-皮尤-House_Voting_Intentions_Knotted,_National_Trend_Not_Apparent_16页_163kb

报告摘要

In the 2002 U.S. midterm election poll, House voting intentions were closely divided with 44% for Republican and 46% for Democratic candidates, expected to result in a very tight congressional race with no clear national trend.
Key voter concerns included domestic issues like education, health care, and social security, as well as the economy, with 46% expecting economic improvement.
Demographic analysis showed slight differences: women leaned Democratic, non-whites strongly favored Democrats, and voters over 65 split evenly; foreign policy concerns slightly favored Republicans.
National partisan balance influenced 56% of Democratic voters and 49% of Republican voters, while 46% of likely voters expected Congress to have done about the same as in recent years.
Critical evaluations noted increased criticism of anti-terrorism efforts and higher negative campaigning in competitive districts.
Methodology involved a sample of 1,610 registered voters with a sampling error of ±3 percentage points, similar to past elections.

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