2023-10-20-美联储-劳动力市场歧视与种族失业差距_货币政策能有所作为吗_64页_671kb
报告摘要
Introduction
This paper examines labor market discrimination and its impact on racial disparities using a New Keynesian search and matching model. The study analyzes whether shifting to a Shortfalls monetary policy rule, adopted by the Federal Reserve, can reduce the racial unemployment gap compared to a Deviations rule.
Key Model Features
- Incorporates employer taste-based discrimination against Black workers.
- Features search and matching frictions, endogenous separations, and nominal price rigidities.
- Includes an effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates and measures welfare gains.
Key Findings
- Labor Market Dynamics: Discrimination explains higher Black unemployment rates, greater volatility, and a countercyclical racial unemployment gap.
- Monetary Policy Effects:
- Shifting to a Shortfalls rule reduces the racial unemployment gap and labor market discrimination by about 0.5 percentage points and 3.6%, respectively.
- It increases average inflation by 0.5 percentage points (from 1.9% to 2.4%).
- Welfare: Distributional benefits are small despite reductions in inequality metrics; welfare gains in consumption-equivalent terms are negligible.
Conclusion
- A Shortfalls rule modestly reduces the racial unemployment gap and discrimination but does little to alleviate inequality in welfare.
- Employer taste-based discrimination significantly shapes labor market disparities, requiring alternative policies or model refinements to address racial inequality more effectively.
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