2024-04-22-ACCA-金融专业人士的经济信心达到2023年第一季度以来的最高水平 ,_尽管成本问题依然存在（英）_14页_2mb

Summary of ACCA and IMA Global Economic Conditions Survey Q1 2024

Key Findings

• Global confidence among accountants and finance professionals improved moderately in Q1 2024, ending a streak of declines, though levels remained below Q1 2023.
• Concerns about increased operating costs rose, with over 70% of CFOs reporting higher worries, up from 61% previously.
• The Capital Expenditure Index declined slightly below average, indicating caution despite gains in confidence and new orders.
• Most regions showed confidence gains, with Asia Pacific experiencing the third-largest index jump ever, linked to improving U.S., Chinese, and global economies.
• North America and Western Europe saw tentative signs of economic stabilization, with confidence rising after previous declines.
• Africa and South Asia reported moderate improvements, benefiting from growth in key economies like India and infrastructure investments.
• Concerns about customers or suppliers going out of business eased slightly, but costs remain highly elevated and pose risks to growth.

Regional Highlights

• Asia Pacific: Confidence surged to record highs, driven by stronger U.S. and Japanese economies, offset by modest declines in capital expenditure.
• North America: Confirmed a soft landing narrative with rising confidence and employment, supported by easing inflation.
• Western Europe: Moderately improved after a run of declines; employment and new orders showed gains, but capital expenditure remained low.
• Middle East: Slight confidence drop but upbeat due to oil prices and Vision 2030 diversification.
• Africa: Confidence picked up, but capital and employment indices signaled caution, linked to geopolitical risks.
• South Asia: India led growth expectations, with policy support and supply chain diversification.

CFO Insights

• CFO confidence declined moderately, while new orders and employment indices improved but remained close to historical averages.
• Rising operational costs and subdued capital expenditure reflect CFO prudence amid economic uncertainties.

Top Global Risks

• Talent scarcity and skills gaps emerged as a major concern across all sectors due to labor shortages and migration.
• Regulatory compliance and geopolitical instability were frequent top risks, exacerbated by conflicts and elections.
• Cybersecurity threats and climate change impacts were also significant, with organizations struggling to address skills and integrity issues.

Overall, the survey indicates modest improvements in global growth prospects but persistent cost pressures and risks requiring cautious policy approaches from central banks.