20170212-三星证券-Samsung_Healthcare_Weekly_16页_987kb
报告摘要
Sector Update Summary
Analyst Team
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Brian Lee - Team Head (Pharm/Biotech)
- Email: brian79.lee@samsung.com
- Phone: 822 2020 7177
-
SunYoung Yoon - Analyst (Pharm/Biotech)
- Email: sy85.yoon@samsung.com
- Phone: 822 2020 7840
-
Kevin Kim - Analyst (Medical devices)
- Email: kevin88.kim@samsung.com
- Phone: 822 2020 7178
-
Wonyong Park - Research Associate
- Email: wkrw.park@samsung.com
- Phone: 822 2020 7847
Compliance Notice
- This report is prepared without undue external influence and accurately reflects the views of the analysts.
Global Healthcare Indices Overview
| Country | Index | Forward P/E (x) | Portion of market cap (%) | 1-w (%) | 1-m (%) | 3-m (%) | ytd (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea | KRX Health Care | 34.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | (3.8) | (8.7) | (5.2) |
| Korea | Kospi Medical Supplies | 42.8 | 2.2 | (1.1) | (1.8) | (3.5) | (3.1) |
| Korea | Kosdaq Pharmaceuticals | 26.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | (3.4) | (6.7) | (4.7) |
| Korea | Kosdaq Medical and Precision Machines | 17.6 | 0.5 | (1.0) | (4.8) | (6.3) | (3.5) |
| US | S&P 500 Healthcare | 15.3 | 8.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| US | S&P 500 Pharma/Biotech | 14.6 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | (0.6) | 2.9 |
| US | Nasdaq Biotechnology | 37.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | (1.2) | 7.3 |
| US | S&P 500 Healthcare equipment and services | 16.6 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 6.0 |
| Europe | MSCI Europe Healthcare | 15.8 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 6.7 | 3.0 |
| Europe | MSCI Europe Pharm/Bio | 15.3 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 |
| Europe | MSCI Europe Healthcare Equipment and Services | 21.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 8.4 | 0.4 |
| Japan | MSCI Japan Healthcare | 25.5 | 7.3 | 2.5 | (0.5) | 6.2 | 1.1 |
| Japan | MSCI Japan Pharm/Bio | 25.3 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Japan | Topix Pharma | 25.0 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Japan | MSCI Japan Healthcare Equipment and Services | 26.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | (2.4) | 10.1 | (1.2) |
| China | MSCI China Healthcare | 18.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 10.9 |
| India | MSCI India Healthcare | 24.3 | 7.5 | (1.1) | 0.0 | (4.0) | 1.8 |
Key Performance Insights
- The KRX Health Care index has a Forward P/E of 34.3 and represents 5.0% of the market cap.
- The Kospi Medical Supplies index has a Forward P/E of 42.8 and represents 2.2% of the market cap.
- The Kosdaq Pharmaceuticals index has a Forward P/E of 26.8 and represents 2.2% of the market cap.
- The Kosdaq Medical and Precision Machines index has a Forward P/E of 17.6 and represents 0.5% of the market cap.
- In the US, the S&P 500 Healthcare index has a Forward P/E of 15.3 and represents 8.2% of the market cap.
- The Nasdaq Biotechnology index has a Forward P/E of 37.3 and represents 2.4% of the market cap.
Major Korean Healthcare Firms Performance
| Category | Company | Ticker | Market Cap (KRWb) | Share Price (KRW) | P/E (x) 2015 | P/E (x) 2016E | P/B (x) 2015 | P/B (x) 2016E | 1-w (%) | 1-m (%) | 3-m (%) | ytd (%) | From Peak (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical holdings | Hanmi Science | 008930 | 3,655 | 62,700 | 41.3 | n/a | 12.3 | n/a | 6.6 | 11.4 | (27.9) | 2.6 | |
| Pharmaceutical holdings | Green Cross Holdings | 005250 | 1,114 | 22,450 | 30.7 | n/a | 2.8 | n/a | 3.0 | (2.0) | (5.3) | (5.7) | |
| Pharmaceuticals | Donga Socio Holdings | 000640 | 756 | 125,000 | 16.9 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | (1.2) | (16.7) | (19.9) | (20.1) | |
| Pharmaceuticals | Daewoong | 003090 | 552 | 47,500 | 17.0 | 52.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 7.2 | (6.3) | 7.8 | |
| Pharmaceuticals | JW Holdings | 096760 | 467 | 7,610 | 4072.0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 1.1 | (9.4) | (18.7) | (14.3) | |
| Pharmaceuticals | Chongkundang Holdings | 001630 | 297 | 59,300 | 30.4 | 48.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | (8.6) | (12.4) | (13.9) |
Global Healthcare Firms Performance
| Sector | Company | Currency | Market Cap (USDm) | Share Price (local) | P/E (x) 2015 | P/E (x) 2016E | P/B (x) 2015 | P/B (x) 2016E | 1-w (%) | 1-m (%) | 3-m (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Biotech | Amgen | USD | 124,897 | 168 | 17.7 | 14.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 8.1 | 12.6 |
| US Biotech | Celgene | USD | 89,941 | 116 | 53.6 | 19.5 | 15.9 | 12.2 | (0.0) | (1.3) | (3.2) |
| US Biotech | Gilead Sciences | USD | 86,932 | 66 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 4.8 | (8.3) | (9.5) | (13.2) |
| US Biotech | Allergan | USD | 82,427 | 246 | 18.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 13.9 | 18.7 |
| US Biotech | Abbott | USD | 73,778 | 43 | 23.6 | 19.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | (0.1) | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| US Biotech | Biogen Idec | USD | 59,335 | 59 | 1309.4 | n/a | 8.0 | n/a | 1.7 | (10.4) | (11.2) |
Summary of Key Insights
- Forward P/E is a key valuation metric used to assess the relative value of companies in the healthcare sector.
- Market Cap Portion indicates the weight of each sector within the overall market.
- Performance Metrics include weekly, monthly, quarterly, and year-to-date changes, showing the relative movement of share prices.
- P/B (Price-to-Book) is another important metric to evaluate the valuation of companies, especially for those with significant tangible assets.
- The Kosdaq Medical and Precision Machines index has the lowest Forward P/E among Korean indices, indicating potential undervaluation.
- Samsung Biologics is excluded from several indices, suggesting it's a separate entity within the Pharm/Biotech sector.
- US Biotech firms like Amgen and Celgene show mixed performance with varying P/E and P/B ratios.
- Global Healthcare Equipment and Services indices show a range of performance, with MSCI Europe Healthcare Equipment and Services performing well in the long term.
This summary provides a snapshot of the performance and valuation metrics across various healthcare indices and major firms in the Korean and global markets, highlighting key trends and insights for investors and analysts.
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