战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-3,-No-28_2页_206kb
报告摘要
Central and Eastern Europe Update Summary
Core Content Overview
This document provides a summary of recent political, economic, and social developments in Central and Eastern Europe, focusing on the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and the Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania), as well as Southeast European countries like Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania, and Slovenia.
Czech Republic
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Political Developments:
- Prime Minister Robert Fico made his first official visit to Prague on 15 July, meeting with his counterpart Jiri Paroubek. Despite internal criticism from European Socialists, Paroubek supported Fico and denied prioritizing Czech-Slovak relations over other European alliances.
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Economic Developments:
- The largest Czech solar power plant was inaugurated on 17 July in Opatov, with a capacity of 60 kW. It is owned by HiTechMedia Systems and connected to the CEZ-owned national grid.
- The total investment was approximately USD 500,000, with 30% funded by state subsidies.
- Czech Avia Letnany is attempting to sell its truck division to address its financial crisis, which began last year. The division was taken over by SGM of the Odien group.
Hungary
- Political and Economic Developments:
- President Laszlo Solyom signed into law a series of tax hikes, despite opposition from the Hungarian Banking Association and VOSZ. The measures aim to reduce the budget deficit by HUF 350 million in 2006 and will take effect in September.
- A Reuter's poll on 19 July indicated that financial analysts believe Hungary will not adopt the euro before 2013 or 2014. The euro entry timeline is a key issue in Hungary's upcoming Convergence Plan submission to the EU.
- Foreign Minister Kinga Goncz visited Brussels on 18 July to meet NATO officials, emphasizing Hungary's role in NATO missions, particularly in Afghanistan.
Poland
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Political Developments:
- Following the resignation of Prime Minister Kazimierz Marcinkiewicz on 10 July, President Lech Kaczynski nominated Jaroslaw Kaczynski, the leader of the Law and Justice party (PiS), as the new prime minister. The cabinet won a confidence vote in parliament on 19 July.
- The new coalition government inherited most of its ministers from the previous administration, reinforcing the influence of the Kaczynski brothers in Polish politics.
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Economic Developments:
- Newly appointed Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski emphasized the importance of diversifying energy supplies in a speech to parliament on 19 July.
Slovakia
- Political Developments:
- Coalition leaders Robert Fico, Jan Slota, and Vladimir Meciar reached agreement on most government platform issues, to be submitted to parliament by 1 August. The National Council will vote on the program on 3 August.
- The coalition partners agreed on the distribution of state secretary positions, with Smer holding the majority, limiting the influence of junior parties.
Baltic States
Estonia
- Political and Economic Developments:
- EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia praised Estonia's economic performance, noting its second-highest GDP growth rate in the EU for Q1 2006 and nearly full employment.
- Almunia encouraged tighter fiscal controls to prevent inflationary risks.
- On 17 July, EU Justice Commissioner Franco Frattini met with Estonian officials to discuss Schengen zone enlargement and EU financial programs.
Latvia
- Political Developments:
- On 14 July, NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer visited Latvia to assess preparations for the Riga NATO summit in November.
- On 17 July, the French government agreed to assist in the evacuation of 37 Latvians from the conflict zone in Lebanon.
- Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev visited Latvia on 17 July to discuss bilateral relations and sign cooperation treaties.
Lithuania
- Political Developments:
- On 12 July, Lithuania joined the IAEA Board of Governors for 2007-2009, focusing on nuclear proliferation and verification issues, particularly regarding North Korea and Iran.
- On 18 July, the Lithuanian parliament approved the program of the newly formed center-left minority government led by Gediminas Kirkilas, following the resignation of Algirdas Brazauskas.
Southeast Europe
Bulgaria
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Political Developments:
- Center-right parties failed to agree on a presidential candidate for the upcoming elections.
- The UDF supported Petar Stoyanov, while other parties favored Nedelcho Beronov.
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Military and Economic Developments:
- Bulgaria initiated the "Immediate Response 2006" trilateral military exercise with the U.S. and Romania on 17 July, focusing on NATO interoperability.
- The unemployment rate in June 2006 was 9.18%, the lowest since 1990, according to Social Minister Emilia Maslarova.
- The first case of bird flu was reported in Slanchogled on 20 July. The virus has not been confirmed as H5N1, and two people in contact with infected birds are under medical surveillance.
Croatia
- Political and Military Developments:
- Prime Minister Ivo Sanader met with British Prime Minister Tony Blair in London on 18 July to discuss Croatia's EU and NATO accession.
- Croatia's Ministry of Defense submitted a 10-year military development plan, aiming to create a smaller, more professional armed force.
- The plan is expected to cost USD 2.5 billion, including USD 470 million for the air force.
- Croatia pledged to assist Serbia in arresting war crimes fugitives Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic.
Romania
- Military Developments:
- Romanian Army Chief of Staff General Eugen Badalan announced a reduction in the number of troops in Iraq from 405 to 150, as the Iraqi army prepares to take over the area.
- Romanian soldiers participated in joint live fire training with Bulgarian and U.S. forces during the "Immediate Response 2006" exercise.
- Spanish steel companies Arcel and Barmesa plan to invest EUR 30 million in a steel processing plant near the Renault-owned Dacia car plant in Romania.
Slovenia
- Legal and Political Developments:
- On 14 July, the European Court of Human Rights cited Slovenia for excessive court proceedings, ordering compensation of USD 80,400 and court expenses of USD 19,000.
- This was the 11th such ruling in three months due to court backlogs.
- On 17 July, members of the LDS, SD, SNS, and DeSUS parties staged a walk-out in protest of a religious freedom bill that they claimed favored the Roman Catholic Church.
- Economy Minister Andrej Vizjak accused Croatia of violating Article 11 of the bilateral agreement on the Krsko nuclear power plant, as Croatia had not established a decommissioning and nuclear waste fund. Slovenia threatened to initiate an arbitration procedure if the issue was not resolved within 30 days.
Key Themes
- Economic Growth and Challenges: Countries like Estonia and Bulgaria showed economic progress, but also faced challenges such as inflation risks and fiscal policy debates.
- EU and NATO Integration: Several nations are actively working towards EU and NATO accession, with military exercises and political discussions playing a key role.
- Political Stability and Reform: Political changes and reforms were noted in various countries, including government formation, policy shifts, and internal party disagreements.
- Energy and Environmental Issues: Energy diversification and environmental concerns, such as nuclear waste management, were highlighted in the Czech Republic and Lithuania.
- Legal and Human Rights Issues: Slovenia faced repeated legal challenges due to court backlogs, while other countries dealt with issues related to religious freedom and international cooperation.
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