2024年第一季度世界旅游业晴雨表（英）-8页_581kb

Overall Recovery Status: International tourism reached 97% of pre-pandemic levels (2019) in Q1 2024, with 285 million overnight visitors, representing a 20% increase from 2023 Q1. Growth was driven by strong demand, enhanced air connectivity, visa facilitation, and market openings, particularly in Asia. Total export revenues recovered to 96% of pre-pandemic levels in nominal terms, and tourism direct GDP hit USD 3.3 trillion.

Regional Performance:

• Middle East: Strongest relative growth with +36% rebound.
• Europe: First quarter to exceed pre-pandemic levels (+1%).
• Africa: +5% more arrivals than in Q1 2019.
• Americas: Almost full recovery at 99% of 2019 levels.
• Asia and Pacific: Arrivals at 82% recovery, with varying subregion performances.

Economic Impact: Tourism receipts in 2023 reached USD 1.5 trillion (up 2% in real terms), surpassing pre-pandemic levels regionally. Many destinations saw higher receipts due to increased spending and favorable exchange rates.

Future Outlook: Optimistic confidence for Northern Hemisphere summer 2024, with expectations of full recovery by 2024 supported by UN Tourism data. However, challenges include persisting inflation, high interest rates, geopolitical tensions (e.g., Ukraine conflict, regional disputes), and potential shifts in tourist behavior towards domestic travel due to costs.

Key Challenges: Economic headwinds like inflation and oil price volatility, along with weather risks, may impede sustained growth. UN Tourism warns of uncertainties affecting travel demand and sector stability.