招商因子周报 20260605 总结
核心内容概述
本周A股市场主要宽基指数整体下跌,其中北证50表现突出,上涨4.42%。其他主要指数如创业板指、深证成指、沪深300等均出现不同程度的下跌。从行业表现来看,煤炭、通信、石油石化、机械、银行等板块表现较好,而电力设备及新能源、医药、食品饮料、建材、农林牧渔等行业表现较差。风格因子方面,市值因子与Beta因子表现尤为显著,小盘股与高Beta股票跑赢大盘股与低Beta股票。
主要观点
- 宽基指数表现:大部分宽基指数下跌,北证50为唯一上涨指数,涨幅达4.42%。近一月主要指数也以下跌为主,但创业板指上涨7.64%。
- 行业表现:煤炭、通信、石油石化、机械、银行等行业表现领先,而电力设备及新能源、医药、食品饮料、建材、农林牧渔等行业表现落后。
- 风格因子表现:市值因子与Beta因子在本周表现突出,市值因子多空收益为-2.57%,Beta因子多空收益为1.46%。过去一个月,Beta因子表现更为显著,多空收益达15.08%。
- 选股因子表现:不同股票池中,表现较好的因子有所差异,如沪深300股票池中240日三因子模型残差波动率、BP、单季度ROE表现较好,而中证500股票池中240日偏度、240日三因子模型残差波动率、60日收益率标准差表现较好。
- 量化基金表现:指数增强型基金超额收益不一,其中沪深300指数增强产品平均超额收益为0.11%,中证500指数增强产品为-0.18%,中证1000指数增强产品为-0.14%。主动量化基金中,德邦民裕进取量化精选A表现最佳,周度收益为4.50%;对冲型基金中,汇添富绝对收益策略A表现最佳,周度收益为1.31%。
- 招商证券量化指数增强组合表现:沪深300指数增强组合近一周超额收益为-0.03%,中证500指数增强组合为-0.04%,中证800指数增强组合为-0.30%,中证1000指数增强组合为-0.22%,沪深300 ESG 股票池下的组合为-0.43%。
关键信息
宽基指数表现回顾
| 指数名称 |
近一周 |
近一月 |
近一年 |
近五年 |
| 北证50 |
4.42% |
-2.33% |
-9.45% |
- |
| 中证2000 |
-0.12% |
-1.31% |
32.99% |
60.35% |
| 中证1000 |
-0.81% |
-0.49% |
35.25% |
22.92% |
| 上证指数 |
-1.00% |
-2.05% |
19.02% |
12.14% |
| 中证500 |
-1.30% |
-1.18% |
43.00% |
23.28% |
| 中证800 |
-1.47% |
-0.19% |
29.04% |
-1.73% |
| 沪深300 |
-1.54% |
0.20% |
24.23% |
-8.81% |
| 深证成指 |
-1.67% |
1.37% |
50.09% |
2.98% |
| 创业板指 |
-1.98% |
7.64% |
93.20% |
22.06% |
行业指数表现回顾
| 行业名称 |
近一周 |
近一月 |
近一年 |
近五年 |
| 煤炭 |
6.98% |
3.48% |
42.65% |
122.50% |
| 通信 |
3.88% |
25.28% |
203.59% |
337.27% |
| 石油石化 |
2.37% |
-11.48% |
28.92% |
40.34% |
| 机械 |
1.34% |
1.68% |
49.03% |
49.13% |
| 银行 |
1.06% |
-1.26% |
-3.19% |
27.34% |
| 综合 |
0.76% |
-10.25% |
-6.04% |
-30.07% |
| 家电 |
0.03% |
-2.55% |
9.07% |
15.46% |
| 基础化工 |
-0.01% |
-7.02% |
46.61% |
15.79% |
| 国防军工 |
-0.05% |
-7.82% |
23.29% |
25.88% |
| 电子 |
-0.80% |
16.31% |
109.80% |
97.40% |
| 纺织服装 |
-1.35% |
-7.93% |
5.86% |
-0.62% |
| 轻工制造 |
-1.37% |
-9.32% |
11.07% |
-14.02% |
| 非银行金融 |
-1.56% |
-7.68% |
-3.56% |
-2.90% |
| 建筑 |
-1.86% |
-7.60% |
6.02% |
18.83% |
| 计算机 |
-1.87% |
-5.34% |
13.98% |
14.67% |
| 汽车 |
-1.92% |
-5.95% |
5.29% |
38.71% |
| 钢铁 |
-2.03% |
-12.53% |
12.18% |
-3.74% |
| 有色金属 |
-2.07% |
-8.61% |
84.51% |
111.27% |
| 交通运输 |
-2.20% |
-4.49% |
-2.91% |
1.30% |
| 传媒 |
-2.70% |
-10.15% |
4.88% |
17.57% |
| 消费者服务 |
-2.88% |
-11.56% |
-11.47% |
-64.26% |
| 房地产 |
-2.94% |
-8.39% |
-0.46% |
-41.41% |
| 电力及公用事业 |
-3.14% |
2.08% |
16.05% |
40.99% |
| 综合金融 |
-3.46% |
-14.64% |
-16.43% |
-15.26% |
| 商贸零售 |
-3.48% |
-6.89% |
-10.27% |
-16.47% |
| 农林牧渔 |
-3.97% |
-16.47% |
-9.18% |
-30.99% |
| 建材 |
-4.08% |
0.76% |
46.10% |
-15.55% |
| 食品饮料 |
-4.10% |
-9.14% |
-16.82% |
-48.96% |
| 医药 |
-4.41% |
-11.06% |
-7.45% |
-44.31% |
| 电力设备及新能源 |
-4.86% |
-5.31% |
54.17% |
28.10% |
风格因子表现回顾
| 因子名称 |
近一周多空收益 |
近一月多空收益 |
| Beta因子 |
1.46% |
15.08% |
| 流动性因子 |
1.34% |
5.98% |
| 波动性因子 |
0.85% |
9.70% |
| 动量因子 |
0.44% |
11.16% |
| 非线性市值因子 |
0.24% |
-1.40% |
| 成长因子 |
-0.52% |
1.51% |
| 估值因子 |
-0.60% |
-8.78% |
| 盈利因子 |
-0.89% |
0.97% |
| 杠杆因子 |
-1.27% |
-1.96% |
| 市值因子 |
-2.57% |
8.56% |
选股因子表现跟踪
沪深300股票池
| 因子名称 |
最近一周 |
最近一月 |
最近一年 |
最近十年 |
| 240日三因子模型残差波动率 |
0.92% |
-1.87% |
-10.94% |
2.23% |
| BP |
0.84% |
-1.27% |
-3.25% |
2.79% |
| 单季度ROE |
0.64% |
1.31% |
11.79% |
3.52% |
| 60日换手率 |
0.61% |
0.26% |
-7.80% |
2.04% |
| 60日成交额 |
0.51% |
-0.61% |
-9.40% |
0.51% |
| 单季度ROA |
0.40% |
3.40% |
16.80% |
3.98% |
| 标准化预期外收入 |
0.40% |
1.91% |
12.41% |
3.86% |
| 流动比率 |
0.28% |
0.74% |
8.86% |
2.48% |
| 60日特异度 |
0.34% |
-2.57% |
-7.36% |
1.67% |
| 20日三因子模型残差波动率 |
0.32% |
-0.95% |
-6.69% |
-0.73% |
| 60日换手率波动 |
0.25% |
-0.44% |
-5.96% |
1.95% |
| 20日成交量比率 |
0.04% |
-1.42% |
-0.02% |
0.39% |
| 单季度毛利率 |
0.03% |
0.36% |
9.65% |
1.76% |
| 盈余质量 |
0.03% |
-0.87% |
-3.44% |
0.50% |
| 60日成交量变异系数 |
0.03% |
1.90% |
4.44% |
0.66% |
| 单季度营业利润率 |
0.03% |
-0.79% |
2.79% |
1.29% |
| 单季度净利润率 |
0.03% |
0.54% |
5.00% |
1.23% |
| 单季度营业收入同比增速 |
0.03% |
1.52% |
20.74% |
3.65% |
| 60日动量 |
0.03% |
-0.61% |
-0.51% |
-0.22% |
| 单季度营业利润同比增速 |
0.03% |
-1.81% |
6.65% |
3.19% |
| 20日成交量比率 |
0.03% |
-2.70% |
-2.17% |
-0.37% |
| 60日换手率 |
0.03% |
-3.72% |
-16.87% |
2.28% |
| 20日换手率波动 |
0.03% |
-4.84% |
-22.89% |
1.26% |
| 单季度ROE |
0.03% |
-2.09% |
2.50% |
4.32% |
| 20日非流动性冲击 |
0.03% |
-1.50% |
-13.00% |
-0.13% |
| 240日动量 |
0.03% |
-1.92% |
10.34% |
1.08% |
| 前五大股东持股比例 |
0.03% |
-1.44% |
-6.56% |
3.31% |
| 单季度EP |
0.03% |
-0.67% |
3.10% |
2.77% |
| 60日偏度 |
0.03% |
2.53% |
3.42% |
1.84% |
中证500股票池
| 因子名称 |
最近一周 |
最近一月 |
最近一年 |
最近十年 |
| 240日偏度 |
-0.86% |
3.59% |
4.54% |
2.14% |
| 240日三因子模型残差波动率 |
0.77% |
0.52% |
-5.08% |
2.65% |
| 60日收益率标准差 |
0.74% |
-1.83% |
-18.36% |
0.07% |
| 20日成交量变异系数 |
0.58% |
2.32% |
2.24% |
-1.70% |
| 标准化预期外盈利 |
0.34% |
-2.53% |
3.11% |
3.72% |
| 标准化预期外收入 |
0.27% |
-0.30% |
8.62% |
4.84% |
| BP |
0.24% |
-0.61% |
6.55% |
3.99% |
| 60日成交量比率 |
0.05% |
-1.42% |
-0.02% |
0.39% |
| 20日特异度 |
0.05% |
-3.00% |
-9.98% |
-0.55% |
| 单季度营业利润率 |
0.05% |
-0.94% |
2.79% |
1.92% |
| 60日非流动性冲击 |
0.05% |
-0.27% |
-4.41% |
0.22% |
| 单季度营业收入同比增速 |
0.05% |
1.52% |
20.74% |
3.65% |
| 单季度净利润率 |
0.05% |
0.54% |
5.00% |
1.23% |
| 20日成交额 |
0.05% |
-2.22% |
-17.04% |
0.63% |
| 单季度EP |
0.05% |
-0.61% |
3.10% |
2.77% |
| 60日特异度 |
0.05% |
-1.07% |
-3.57% |
0.83% |
| 20日换手率波动 |
0.05% |
-4.84% |
-22.89% |
1.26% |
| 单季度ROA |
0.05% |
-1.32% |
6.39% |
1.72% |
| 60日换手率波动 |
0.05% |
-1.09% |
-12.71% |
2.76% |
| 20日非流动性冲击 |
0.05% |
-1.50% |
-13.00% |
-0.13% |
| 单季度毛利率 |
0.05% |
-0.84% |
1.42% |
1.76% |
| 60日偏度 |
0.05% |
0.86% |
-1.65% |
0.98% |
| 20日收益率标准差 |
0.05% |
-4.83% |
-19.09% |
-1.84% |
| 前五大股东持股比例 |
0.05% |
1.04% |
-2.50% |
1.77% |
| 单季度ROE |
0.05% |
-1.32% |
6.39% |
1.72% |
中证800股票池
| 因子名称 |
最近一周 |
最近一月 |
最近一年 |
最近十年 |
| BP |
0.97% |
-1.10% |
-5.71% |
2.87% |
| 240日偏度 |
0.79% |
3.16% |
8.37% |
2.72% |
| 240日三因子模型残差波动率 |
0.67% |
-3.15% |
-16.32% |
1.33% |
| 流动比率 |
0.51% |
0.68% |
5.34% |
2.63% |
| 60日收益率标准差 |
0.50% |
-2.95% |
-18.39% |
-0.51% |
| 股息率 |
0.38% |
0.38% |
-0.54% |
3.06% |
| 标准化预期外收入 |
0.30% |
1.76% |
13.48% |
4.50% |
| 20日成交量变异系数 |
0.20% |
0.60% |
-2.68% |
-0.12% |
| 20日特异度 |
0.18% |
2.52% |
2.46% |
-0.03% |
| 60日动量 |
0.17% |
1.63% |
5.94% |
0.47% |
| 标准化预期外盈利 |
0.11% |
-0.62% |
8.93% |
3.44% |
| 单季度SP |
0.10% |
-3.22% |
-5.76% |
-0.38% |
| 120日三因子模型残差波动率 |
0.07% |
-3.76% |
-15.62% |
0.21% |
| SP_TTM |
-0.05% |
-2.26% |
-7.76% |
-0.97% |
| CFEV_TTM |
-0.11% |
-1.07% |
-5.65% |
2.16% |
| 60日换手率 |
-0.18% |
-2.33% |
-12.85% |
2.75% |
| 60日反转 |
-0.20% |
-1.01% |
-8.82% |
-1.87% |
| 60日成交量比率 |
-0.22% |
-1.79% |
-7.29% |
-1.31% |
| 60日成交量变异系数 |
-0.23% |
2.19% |
11.88% |
2.76% |
| 20日三因子模型残差波动率 |
-0.30% |
-2.38% |
-15.08% |
-1.90% |
| 对数市值 |
-0.32% |
-2.70% |
-5.20% |
-2.38% |
| 20日反转 |
-0.35% |
-2.70% |
-14.01% |
-2.79% |
| 240日动量 |
-0.39% |
2.89% |
10.34% |
1.69% |
| 盈余公告次日开盘跳空超额 |
-0.42% |
-2.43% |
9.82% |
5.87% |
| 单季度营业利润率 |
-0.42% |
-0.94% |
7.10% |
1.92% |
| 60日换手率波动 |
-0.43% |
-1.09% |
-12.71% |
2.76% |
| 单季度净利润率 |
-0.43% |
0.43% |
10.39% |
2.65% |
| 盈余公告前隔夜动量 |
-0.46% |
-0.01% |
5.51% |
2.82% |
| 单季度营业收入同比增速 |
-0.46% |
0.83% |
21.87% |
5.19% |
| 单季度EP |
-0.48% |
-1.32% |
6.39% |
1.72% |
| 60日特异度 |
-0.48% |
-1.07% |
-3.57% |
0.83% |
| 120日成交量比率 |
-0.49% |
-3.88% |
-8.02% |
-0.70% |
| 20日非流动性冲击 |
-0.50% |
-1.50% |
-13.00% |
-0.13% |
| 60日偏度 |
-0.51% |
0.86% |
-1.65% |
0.98% |
风险提示
本报告结果基于历史数据统计、建模和测算,不考虑交易费率,且在政策或市场环境发生变化时,模型可能失效。投资者需注意市场变化可能带来的风险。